Polling averages shouldn't be political litmus tests #NateSilver https://natesilver.substack.com/p/polling-averages-shouldnt-be-political
And to think I had #NateSilver at 99.9% to win the 2024 election!
Nate Silver Out at ABC News as Disney Layoffs Once Again Hit News Division https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/digital/nate-silver-leaves-538-abc-news-disney-layoffs-1235401689/
@adamdavidson
Nate Silver isn't actually incompetent in #statistics I think as some have suggested. He turned his forecasting into a process that doesn't confirm the people's perception of the reality and hence keeps failing.
Additionally, he will always argue that probability is just that, a statistical likelihood and doesn't actually predict the result.
Perception is often the reality in the business of #politics. I am addicted to #538 out of curiosity only.
#FiveThirtyEight #NateSilver
#NateSilver #fivethirtyeight #Politics #statistics
I’m the one talking above the blacked out parts. A college friend is pretty sure he knows what Mastodon is all about. I’m pretty sure he doesn’t. 🙄 #NateSilver #AntiFragility
@SparkleTea @stevenpbrumby @mmasnick
You only have to go to #538's website to see how #irrelevant #NateSilver is. #Republicans must own him.
#republicans #NateSilver #irrelevant