Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
2076 followers · 3374 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@maddox
Well historically these waves propagate across the globe although not in a simple manner.

It's clearly a high risk that other countries will follow in a similarly unnoticed manner since testing is gone, proactive NPI safety precautions are zeroed out, and vaccination protection is waning.

The alternative position is immunity alone is currently sufficient. This is a single point of failure posture I don't subscribe to.

I will be taking a precautionary approach.

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
2063 followers · 3325 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@McCulloch

This Is The Way.

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
2012 followers · 3096 posts · Server zeroes.ca

Our society has engaged in a 100 year struggle to manage, mitigate & eliminate risk in many areas of civil society.

We use every since day.

We come up with new & powerful technologies to mitigate or eliminate risk.

Our lifespan has increased directly due to this.

Until now.

Except for the 3rd leading cause of death in North America.

For that, its "learn to live with COVID".

Learn to live with risk.

Allow mass infection, death & disability.

youtu.be/QHW1y-FpyII

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1907 followers · 2764 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@d_a_keldsen

This is the way.

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1803 followers · 2401 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@PrecautionaryPrinciple I have been following UVGI closely but not yet deployed.

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1806 followers · 2374 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@PrecautionaryPrinciple
Eyes have nummy ACE2 receptors exposed for SARS2 convenience.

It's not a proven attack vector but and recommend it.

I often wonder if contacts provide a reduction in infectable surface area. Never seen a paper on it tho.

I really bonded with The Mandolorian over his dedication to not take off his helmet.

#DefenceInDepth #PrecautionaryPrinciple

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1656 followers · 1977 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@steven @dgbassani @scarpino

Thus a approach is now *mandatory* to get R0<1 from a modelling perspective. No single NPI will do the job.

You need airborne mitigations , , , etc to get Rt<1 to stop the pandemic.

The issue is that as evolves, it is increasing its transmissivity & immune evasion.

As we delay doing the NPIs, the NPI cost is actually INCREASING in time.

There is an NPI cross-over curve that is changing over time, & its getting worse.

#DefenceInDepth #n95 #HEPA #SafeAir #sarscov2

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1561 followers · 1775 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@kleines_z From a risk perspective, there is compelling evidence vaccination does *not* eliminate long term risks including risk of immune dysfunction. It may mitigate (reduce) risk but how much is yet to be determined.

In other words, imo, vaxxed & relaxed is a very high risk posture to take, *because* we are uncertain about long term risk mitigation.

is always best precaution. I use vaccination as my last line of defense not my first.

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1203 followers · 1068 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@steven The best answer is - avoid infection & reserve your immunity for last ditch defence, not front line defence.

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1095 followers · 711 posts · Server zeroes.ca

@catladyactivist is the way. "Vaxxed & Relaxed" is a path to continual re-injury & very high risk.

#DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
1052 followers · 571 posts · Server zeroes.ca

Gen 4. Feb 21 The depths of winter in downtown Toronto, hotzone

Double + ocular protection for

3 Layer "DNA Mask" over O2 Canada PM2.5 elastomeric. 3M sealed safety glasses

#covid19 #masking #DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment · @EricCarroll
510 followers · 229 posts · Server zeroes.ca

Famous Swiss Cheese diagram creator (and virologist)
Ian Mackay
@mackayim2022 has joined.

Welcome!

Wow.

Ok maybe virology should be listed first, but we all know & love his diagram.

#twittermigration #twitterexodus #COVIDisAirborne #DefenceInDepth

Last updated 2 years ago