Russia arrests leader of prominent election monitoring group

https://www.dw.com/en/russia-arrests-leader-of-prominent-election-monitoring-group/a-66574196?maca=en-dipa_news_mstdn-34613-xml-mrss

#Russia #Golos

@angdraug

Excellent innovation!!!

Voting population of #Belarus: roughly 80% * 9.5 million = 7.6 M # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Belarus

Official #Tsikhanouskaya result = 0.1 * 0.84 * 7.6 M = 0.64 M

#Golos so far = 1.2 M

Your interpretation seems to be that almost everybody who sent their vote to Golos voted for Tsikhanouskaya, so she must have got at least 20% of the vote.

This is a reasonable guess. It's unlikely that equally many Łukaszenko and Tsikhanouskaya supporters submitted photos to Golos.