The #ParadoxOfOpen meets #intelligence tradecraft:

The #open movement have been essential to much of what we love about the #internet. Even the #US #IntelligenceCommunity relies on #OpenSource info.

However, even good intentioned and accurate use of open information can undermine stakeholders of intelligence analysis, sometimes making things worse for *all* stakeholders.

Amy Zegart explains in this (#openAccess) chapter: https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.7591/j.ctv310vm0j.7

#Journalism #Security #Cyber #Ethics #Politics

"Five of [seven intelligence] agencies determined it... 'very unlikely' that a foreign adversary was responsible for [#HavanaSyndrome] symptoms..."

"One agency ...determined that it was 'unlikely'."

"One agency abstained in its conclusion regarding a foreign actor."

"...when asked, no agency dissented from the conclusion that a foreign actor did not cause the symptoms...."

https://apnews.com/article/havana-syndrome-intelligence-anonalous-health-incidents-diplomats-cf087b8255532056b5597232544bfb71

#IntelligenceCommunity #LikertScale #Probability #DoubleNegative #TripleNegative?