接上述，转发评论 ——

对乌克兰的安全保障的声明就是维尔纽斯峰会的主要内容。毫无疑问，该联盟将无法在给予乌克兰成员资格和成员保障方面取得任何进展。然而，让人感兴趣的和重要的恰恰是联盟关系正式化的替代方案。

媒体习惯于将这种替代方案称为 "以色列"，那就这样吧，也没什么。但这种关系的实质是美国和一些国家向乌克兰提供军事援助保证，但不承诺参战。这比许多人希望的要少，但比过去一年半中所得的要多得多，当时事实上的援助只是一种善意的行为。而在这种情况下，它成为了一项义务，因此也是大国政策可信度的一个要素。

值得注意的是盟国承诺的规模。那份昨晚公布的文件令人失望。事实上，它将 “义务"的所有细节都转移到了七国集团与乌克兰之间的双边协议上。然而，小步走、多阶段协议的策略一直都是西方联盟所使用的。回顾一下你应该记得，几个月前美国政府就终止了向基辅提供飞机的讨论。现在它已被固定在声明中。

最大的问题是泽连斯基在谈判中的对抗策略是加强了还是削弱了最终那个令人失望的结果。我觉得是削弱了。该声明首次公开阐述了乌克兰在政治领域的义务，而泽连斯基昨天公开否认了这些义务的存在，并无视美国的所有暗示。泽连斯基无视这些意愿只会增加西方联盟对乌克兰领导层推动政治改革的愿望和能力的怀疑。因此，西方推动乌克兰在这一领域做出书面承诺。

公开化矛盾本身就削弱了联盟精神。这就是其对手对此的看法。泽连斯基在西方的可信度很高，但还没有高到可以向西方领导人施加公开压力的地步。

与此同时 - 在这些分歧的表象背后 - 声明的出现本身就是一个巨大的进步。乌克兰和西方之间的联盟有了某种基础。这个联盟现在有机会得到加强并充实其内容，绕过北约的规则和惯例所造成的僵局。

#NATOSummit #Ukraine

#G7 の「ウクライナ支援に関する共同宣言」が12日発表されたことを受け、ミシェル欧州理事会議長は、#ウクライナ とその領土の一体性を支えるという #EU を含むG7の長期的決意の表れであると述べ、同国が自身を守り、将来的なロシアの侵略を抑止することが極めて重要だと指摘した🇪🇺🇺🇦
<div class="rsshub-quote">
Charles Michel: We are ready to provide security guarantees to Ukraine and we support the Peace Formula proposed by President @ZelenskyyUA
There is no place for impunity.
#NATOsummit https://t.co/u2Sl5Gsplz
</div>

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/EUinJapan/status/1679332111407251456

关于维尔纽斯北约峰会 ——

其实真没什么可说的。或者说，可能与大众期待的相反（是否应该期待那是另一回事 https://iyouport.substack.com/p/--2a4 ）。

主要问题是瑞典问题。甚至不可能绕过“和平的瑞典”讨论正在交战中的乌克兰加入北约的问题。顺便说接下来的两个半月里库尔德工人党和所谓的葛兰派很可能将不得不开始各种激烈的抵抗，这是埃尔多安下发的“作业” https://iyouport.substack.com/p/234 （明天是PKK的荣誉日；土耳其议会将休会至10月1日）。

对乌克兰未被邀请加入北约的各种情绪 (不论是失望还是幸灾乐祸) 都只有在确认邀请是可能的情况下才会出现。但这事实上是没有计划的。泽连斯基谈到这一点是可以理解的，因为谈判的出发点应该是最高的，但甚至在峰会之前就有人说过还不会发出邀请。

与其说是邀请，不如说是能得到什么：
1) 新的武器和支持。这将会发生，但它不属于“北约问题”。
2) 承诺和时间表（日程表）。承诺在准备就绪时有义务致电，但没有截止日期（没有 MAP —— 格鲁吉亚和乌克兰在 2008 年布加勒斯特峰会之前为之奋斗的成员行动计划，在那里他们得到了共同的承诺）。
3) 加入北约前的安全保障。这是最值得关注的部分。根据保证的内容和措辞（尚未给予和承诺）可能涵盖没有加入北约的潜在盟国，但方式类似。例如，在批准芬兰加入北约的同时，北约向芬兰提供了与北约正式成员类似的安全保证，这样就不会有丝毫利用“机会之窗”的诱惑。

重要的是，现在已经有了哪些保障，可以在敌对行动期间提供，以及在敌对行动以某种形式停止后还可以提供哪些保障。

当然，只要没有加入北约，没有具有约束力的时间表，就仍有可能将加入北约作为和平谈判的象征性资本进行交换（可以想象莫斯科同意以和平和割让领土换取拒绝正式加入北约的构想），而乌克兰的盟友将以具有约束力的保证取而代之：毕竟，甚至在北约出现之前，各国就已经在彼此开战了，在这一点上没有人检查过北约。

也许这就是为什么它没有被检查过的原因，因为没有人敢去检查它。在这方面，世界必需无条件相信，保证就像成员资格一样好，矛盾的是，这也是为什么人们如此争取北约成员资格的原因，因为它不需要经过实践的检验。

#NATOSummit #Ukraine #Turkey #Russia #Sweden

RT Charles Michel: LIVE - my remarks ahead of the #NATOSummit in Vilnius https://n.respublicae.eu/i/broadcasts/1OdKrzzEbwAKX

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/CharlesMichel/status/1679003904493617152

Met with @President_KR at #NATOSummit.
The cooperation between Estonia and Korea is good, including in defence. Potential to boost economic ties, and do more on cyber and digital issues.
Discussed the security situation in Asia and thanked Korea for supporting Ukraine. https://t.co/1HOxNYgktK

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/kajakallas/status/1679111090989350914

Esta Cimeira foi uma prova indiscutível da unidade da Aliança no apoio à #Ucrânia, como demonstra o pacote substancial de resultados alcançados.
#NATOSummit #Vilnius https://t.co/7XTYQcuuCZ

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/antoniocostapm/status/1679175592153956361

Brilliant address to the Bundestag from @SevimDagdelen on the #NATOSummit, with some clearly finding the truth difficult to hear. #NATO is not a defensive alliance. It's a murderous military pact, guzzling public wealth, breeding war on our continent. We need peace not #NATO.
<div class="rsshub-quote">
Sevim Dağdelen, MdB: Whenever there is talk about #NATO , myths are spread. Here are a few simple truths about NATO.
What we need is #peace , not NATO.
From my speech in the German Bundestag on the #Vilnius #Summit . https://t.co/E9TibtlHSU
</div>

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/ClareDalyMEP/status/1679171470566604802

RT KyivPost
"I am confident that after the war, Ukraine will be in #NATO. We'll be doing everything possible to make it happen," President #Zelensky stated during the press conference at the #NATOsummit.
📹: Bloomberg https://t.co/iR1yERWVPQ

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/KyivPost/status/1679082658628874241

🇮🇹🇺🇦 Al #NATOSummit di Vilnius è stato lanciato il #NatoUkraineCouncil: un momento storico, l’inizio di un cammino che porterà l’Ucraina nella grande famiglia @NATO. Mi sono congratulato con l’amico @DmytroKuleba. https://t.co/iwDERuP2nJ

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/Antonio_Tajani/status/1679164892069216267

Look at the freedom fighter!
<div class="rsshub-quote">
Devana 🇺🇦: Orbán did not even approach the journalists
#NATOSummit #NATOSummitVilnius https://t.co/SicJKzJ84r
</div>

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/istvan_ujhelyi/status/1679144223197790210

RT Nicu Popescu
At the #NATOsummit in Vilnius - thanked NATO friends and counterparts for supporting Moldova. With 🇷🇴@Odobes1Luminita 🇸🇮 @tfajon 🇨🇿@JanLipavsky 🇧🇪@alexanderdecroo @hadjalahbib 🇱🇺@AsselbornJean 🇨🇦@melaniejoly 🇮🇸 @thordiskolbrun https://t.co/BJkJ98HTdM

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/nicupopescu/status/1679080301249568771

🎙️ #NatoSummit di Vilnius, la guerra di aggressione della Russia contro l’Ucraina, gli obiettivi dell’Alleanza per il fianco meridionale, le sfide del futuro con una visione a 360 gradi.
Ascolta la mia intervista a @CNBCi @squawkBoxEurope ➡️
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/07/12/italian-foreign-ministeor-says-that-nato-needs-to-look-to-the-south-of-the-world.html

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/Antonio_Tajani/status/1679105181101830149

RT Prime Minister GR
Με τον Πρόεδρο της Γαλλίας @EmmanuelMacron στο περιθώριο του #NATOSummit. Συζητήσαμε για την περαιτέρω ενίσχυση των ήδη εξαιρετικών ελληνογαλλικών σχέσεων, για περιφερειακά και ευρωπαϊκά ζητήματα, καθώς και για τις τελευταίες εξελίξεις στην Ουκρανία. https://t.co/82X8IGk9ZG

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/PrimeministerGR/status/1679093947438694400

🇺🇦Голова Євроради @CharlesMichel:
«Ми готові надати Україні гарантії безпеки та підтримуємо запропоновану Президентом @ZelenskyyUa Формулу миру.
Жодної безкарності!».
#NATOsummit https://t.co/NtFU2X4HJI
<div class="rsshub-quote">
Charles Michel: We are ready to provide security guarantees to Ukraine and we support the Peace Formula proposed by President @ZelenskyyUA
There is no place for impunity.
#NATOsummit https://t.co/u2Sl5Gsplz
</div>

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/EUDelegationUA/status/1679080582955892736

RT Charles Michel
The new geopolitical reality challenges the rules-based international order.
EU and @NATO are reinforcing their cooperation.
Strong allies make strong alliances.
EU and NATO stand together in support to 🇺🇦.
We will deliver.
#NATOsummit https://t.co/CASCBthNFQ

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/CharlesMichel/status/1679088889003233280

RT European Federalists
🇪🇺🟢 Following @federalists &amp; EM Lithuania’s Theme Day on the Vilnius #NATOSummit: The World looks to #Vilnius: High Expectations for the @NATO Summit on 📆 7 July 2023, UEF‘s board member Laura @tatarelyte is reporting live from🇱🇹 #VilniusSummit: 👇🏻 https://n.respublicae.eu/tatarelyte/status/1678842340029485056
<div class="rsshub-quote">
Laura Tatarelyte 🇱🇹🇪🇺🇺🇦: “NATO will give Ukraine security. Ukraine will make NATO stronger”, President Zelensky today, addressing thousands of people in Vilnius. Let's adopt the right decision. #UkraineNATOnow https://t.co/V6BRs3uXL6
</div>

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/federalists/status/1679054344912601088

RT Oana Lungescu
In their first working session at the #NATOSummit, Allies took decisions to:
➡️ bring #Ukraine closer to #NATO
➡️ the most detailed defence plans since the Cold War
➡️ invest more in defence on an enduring basis
Read: http://bit.ly/3O6HVj9 https://t.co/PqYKsVIN1y

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/NATOpress/status/1678802393167740928

RT NATO
DAY 2 #NATOSummit
Meeting of the North Atlantic Council with 🇦🇺 🇯🇵 🇳🇿 🇰🇷 🇸🇪 🇪🇺
The first meeting of the NATO-Ukraine Council 🇺🇦
ℹ️ Click for more information ⤵️

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/NATO/status/1678993588028424192

Arrival and doorstep by @CharlesMichel @eucopresident, at the #NATOSummit taking place on 12 July 2023 in #Vilnius.
"We support the Peace Formula proposed by @ZelenskyyUa, based on the UN charter, based on justice. There is no place for impunity."
https://newsroom.consilium.europa.eu/events/20230711-president-michel-nato-summit-2023/140842-arrival-and-doorstep-by-president-michel-20230712

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/EUCouncilTVNews/status/1679009354035482627

RT MFEA Slovenia
"Thank you @irenefellin &amp; @VCmilyte for engaging #NATO Foreign &amp; Defence Ministers at the High-level Women's Breakfast on the importance of ♀️ role in peace &amp; security, including in 🇺🇦. Slovenia 🇸🇮 is committed to advancing the #WPS agenda and leveraging ♀️ participation &amp;… https://n.respublicae.eu/i/web/status/1679025400708464641
<div class="rsshub-quote">
Viktorija Cmilyte-Nielsen: Started this morning co-hosting the High-Level Women’s Breakfast - #LeadershipMatters meeting on the margins of the #NATOSummit in #Vilnius together with @irenefellin &amp; a group of female leaders, ministers and representatives of civil society 1/2 https://t.co/ityRJqVdRl
</div>

🐦🔗: https://n.respublicae.eu/MZEZ_RS/status/1679025400708464641