Happy Easter! Wishing all of our students, staff and followers a wonderful day filled with joy, laughter, and, above all, lots of chocolate. π°π₯π #Easter2023 #Pasen
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Berks County Results
Oz: 50.4% (78,019)
Fetterman: 46.1% (71,349)
It's been a while since I did something like this; I finally got around to doing this county. Fett won a lot of outer boroughs: Kutztown, Fleetwood, Amity Gardens, Wernersville, etc.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1618090050943877120
RT @CookPolitical@twitter.com
π¨ Our 2024 Senate Race Ratings are now live.
Toss Up: #AZSen, #OHSen, #WVSen
Lean D: #MISen, #MTSen, #NVSen, #PASen, #WISen
Likely R: #FLSen
Read @JessicaTaylor@twitter.com's detailed breakdown of all 34 Senate races this cycle: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/democrats-defense-2024-senate-race-ratings
π¦π: https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1617840232405270528
#flsen #WISen #PASEN #nvsen #MTSEN #MIsen #wvsen #ohsen #azsen
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
With every county in PA now fully certified, this is the final breakdown of #PASen.
Fetterman: 51.3% (2,751,012)
Oz: 46.3% (2,487,260)
Fetterman wins by 5 and cements his place as the best-performing Dem battleground candidate this cycle, beating out Kelly and Warnock. (1/2)
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1605413686830501888
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Here's a breakdown of voting methods for #PASen. The moral of the story is clear - by putting all his eggs in the Election Day basket, Oz could not erase that deficit with mail-in ballots. Based on the breakdown, he won ED by a little over 10 points. He needed closer to 20.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1600124191553990662
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
A question was asked by @VoteDEMreddit@twitter.com - did any third-party candidate do better than Oz in Philadelphia? The answer is actually *yes.* There are multiple precincts where the Libertarian nominee, Erik Gerhardt, surpassed Oz and came second behind Fetterman. #PASen
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1598511024113688576
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Philadelphia County Results
Fetterman: 82.6% (412,841)
Oz: 15.7% (78,408)
Trump did 3 points better than Oz here, which is amusing. There are some precincts near the city center where Fett got 98-99% of the vote; Oz didn't even crack 1%. So much for his "appeal" there.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1598493041496555520
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Lancaster County Results
Oz: 55.6% (124,798)
Fetterman: 42.1% (94,632)
The areas south and east of Lancaster City are ripe for expansion and Dem gains. Fetterman came close to flipping them and Shapiro got them - he was a few thousand votes short of taking the county.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1597672816064614400
RT @dabbs346@twitter.com
The first chapter of Dave McCormick's upcoming book "Superpower in Peril" is out and oh boy oh boy oh boy it's something #pasen
π¦π: https://twitter.com/dabbs346/status/1597325111463358464
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Happy Mehmet Monday!
Fun fact - Oz got a lower share of the statewide vote than Lee Zeldin did in New York. 46.3% versus 47.1%. Additionally, he had the second worst share of the vote of any R candidate in this yearβs Senate battlegrounds. Only Don Bolduc did worse. #PASen
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1597217467482673152
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Last set of #PASen numbers for the day.
2018 turnout: 58.18%
2022 turnout: ~60%
Statewide, turnout is actually higher than the last midterm. 5 million voters voted in 2018, 5.3 million and counting in 2022. Philly saw depressed turnout this time, otherwise Fett wins by 6-7.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1595622006048886784
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Time for #PASen afternoon numbers with some tea or whatever drink strikes your fancy. We looked at the issues Fetterman won, but what about demographics?
Dems: 94-5
GOP: 10-90
Independents: 58-38
1st time midterm voters: 62-34
Winning indies by *20* and 10% of GOP? Lmao.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1595511402902523911
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Time for #PASen afternoon numbers with some tea or whatever drink strikes your fancy. We looked at the issues Fetterman won, but what about demographics?
Dems: 94-5
GOP: 10-90
Independents: 58-38
1st time midterm voters: 62-34
Winning indies by *20* and 10% of GOP? Lmao.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1595511402902523911
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Whatever's left of the remaining ballots for #PASen broke by more favorable margins than I expected.
Fetterman: 51.2
Oz: 46.4
Fetterman wins by 4.8 points. He's now on track to be one of the best D performing candidates in the five battlegrounds and he's not even an incumbent!
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1593812284714819586
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
Whatever's left of the remaining ballots for #PASen broke by more favorable margins than I expected.
Fetterman: 51.2
Oz: 46.4
Fetterman wins by 4.8 points. He's now on track to be one of the best D performing candidates in the five battlegrounds and he's not even an incumbent!
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1593812284714819586
RT @blockedfreq@twitter.com
With some more ballots in, Fetterman just hit the 51% vote share threshold with 15K still remaining in Philly, 17.5K in Chester, and a fair bit smattered across some rural counties. He's going to get above 51% now, that's for sure. Better than Toomey both times.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1591257080660623361
RT @PpollingNumbers@twitter.com
Breaking Update: The NYT has Fetterman (D) w a 95% chance winning #PASen
π¦π: https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1590205734796820480
RT @PpollingNumbers@twitter.com
Breaking Update: The NYT has Fetterman (D) w a 90% chance winning #PASen
π¦π: https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1590198124664205316
RT @ElectionCenter_@twitter.com
Projection:
Democrat John Fetterman is the Projected Winner in the Pennsylvania Senate Election. He will defeat Republican Mehmet Oz.
Democratic Gain
#Election2022 #ElectionDay #PASen
π¦π: https://twitter.com/ElectionCenter_/status/1590192478053076992
#PASEN #electionday #election2022
RT @ryanmatsumoto1@twitter.com
Fetterman is now outperforming Biden's numbers in 17 of the 18 Pennsylvania counties are reporting >95% of their vote.
The only county where Oz is outperforming Trump is Pike County, a county along the New Jersey border, where he's outperforming Trump by 0.9 points.
π¦π: https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1590189137604546562