c.gerrish · @cgerrish
230 followers · 1463 posts · Server sfba.social
Ariadne · @ariadne
654 followers · 152 posts · Server kolektiva.social

"1.5-degree goal not plausible - Social change more important than physical tipping points

"Limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius is currently not plausible, as is shown in a new, central study released by Universität Hamburg’s Cluster of Excellence “Climate, Climatic Change, and Society” (). Climate policy, protests, and the Ukraine crisis: the participating researchers systematically assessed to what extent social changes are already underway – while also analyzing certain physical processes frequently discussed as tipping points. Their conclusion: social change is essential to meeting the temperature goals set in Paris. But what has been achieved to date is insufficient. Accordingly, climate adaptation will also have to be approached from a new angle."

"The interdisciplinary team of researchers addressed ten important drivers of social change: “Actually, when it comes to climate protection, some things have now been set in motion. But if you look at the development of social processes in detail, keeping global warming under 1.5 degrees still isn’t plausible,” says CLICCS Speaker Prof. Anita Engels. According to the Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook, especially consumption patterns and corporate responses are slowing urgently needed climate protection measures. Other key factors like UN climate policy, legislation, climate protests and divestment from the fossil fuels are supporting efforts to meet the climate goals. As the analysis shows, however, this positive dynamic alone won’t suffice to stay within the 1.5-degree limit. “The deep decarbonization required is simply progressing too slowly,” says Engels."

Some conclusions from the Report:
"None of the ten social drivers support deep decarbon- ization by 2050, as in the 2021 Outlook. Seven social drivers (i.e., United Nations climate governance, transnational initiatives, climate-related regulation, climate protests and social move- ments, climate litigation, fossil-fuel divestment, and knowledge production) support decarbonization, but not deep decarbon- ization by 2050. Two social drivers (i.e., corporate responses and consumption patterns) continue to undermine the pathways to decarbonization, let alone deep decarbonization. One driv- er (i.e., media) remains ambivalent insofar as its dynamics are volatile, both supporting and undermining decarbonization."

"In light of these findings, we conclude that reaching worldwide deep by 2050 is currently not plausible, given the observable trajectories of social drivers. The select physical processes of public interest only moderately, if at all, inhibit the plausibility of attaining the Paris Agreement temperature goals, although they can substantially modify the physical boundary conditions for society. Meeting the 1.5°C Paris Agreement tem- perature goal is not plausible, but limiting the global tempera- ture rise to well below 2°C can become plausible if ambition, implementation, and knowledge gaps are closed."

cliccs.uni-hamburg.de/about-cl

#CLICCS #decarbonization #ClimateCrisis #climate #deepdecarbonization #Parisclimateagreement #parisaccord

Last updated 2 years ago

DerEric · @erzogheric
45 followers · 249 posts · Server climatejustice.social

@LuetziBleibt
Ich fordere Vorbeugehaft für PolitikerInnen, die sich weiterhin weigern im Sinne des zu handeln!
Würde halt auch das „Problem“ mit demonstrierenden & blockierenden lösen. Also win-win, hey ho let’s go!

#Parisclimateagreement #Klimaaktivisti #KlimaschuetzenIstKeinVerbrechen

Last updated 2 years ago

DerEric · @erzogheric
38 followers · 186 posts · Server climatejustice.social

Hey GdP, wie wär’s, wenn ihr einfach von der fordern würdet, keine weiteren mehr zu begehen, das einzuhalten und endlich konsequente zu machen?!?!
Packt das Übel an der Wurzel, dann „müsst“ ihr auch nicht Triebe bekämpfen, die diese Pflanze hervorbringt. Und wir alle hätten ein ruhigeres und besseres Leben✌️

#bundesregierung #Umweltverbrechen #Parisclimateagreement #klimaschutzpolitik #KlimaschuetzenIstKeinVerbrechen #ClimateJustice

Last updated 2 years ago

Johanna Kähäri · @kaharinjohanna
72 followers · 134 posts · Server climatejustice.social

Vaikka nyt sitten liittää Brasilian takaisin niin onhan koko kokous yksi farssi, kun tarjoaa foorumin, jossa autoritaarista a kosiskellaan, jotta Venezuelasta saisi fossiilista energiaa, sitä, joka Ukrainan sodan vuoksi jää toimittamatta.

ja etenkin ilmastokokoukseen kytkeytyen!

theguardian.com/environment/20

#lula #Parisclimateagreement #cop27Egypt2022 #maduro #NoFossilFuels

Last updated 2 years ago

Johanna Kähäri · @kaharinjohanna
72 followers · 134 posts · Server climatejustice.social

Vaikka nyt sitten liittää Brasilian takaisin niin onhan koko kokous yksi farssi, kun tarjoaa foorumin, jossa autoritaarista a kosiskellaan, jotta Argentiinasta saisi fossiilista energiaa, sitä, joka Ukrainan sodan vuoksi jää toimittamatta.

ja etenkin ilmastokokoukseen kytkeytyen!

theguardian.com/environment/20

#lula #Parisclimateagreement #cop27Egypt2022 #maduro #NoFossilFuels

Last updated 2 years ago

DerEric · @erzogheric
17 followers · 30 posts · Server climatejustice.social

@miriam_vollmer

Erwägt eigentlich auch jemand härtere Sanktionen gegen PolitikerInnen, die nicht im Sinne des und des Urteils des Bundesverfassungsgerichts handeln?

#Parisclimateagreement #klimaklage

Last updated 2 years ago

DerEric · @erzogheric
17 followers · 30 posts · Server climatejustice.social

@miriam_vollmer
Was darf Satire?
Der Justizminister von der , die keinen Plan dafür hat, wie das eingehalten werden kann und damit gegen einen völkerrechtlich, verbindlichen Vertrag verstößt und obendrein auch noch durch ihre Blockadehaltung bei der Umsetzung der einfachsten Klimaschutzmaßnahmen das Urteil des Bundesverfassungsgerichts ( ihr wisst schon😉) mit Füßen tritt, fordert härtere Strafen für Menschen, die sich für genau die Einhaltung dieses Vertrags einsetzen. Habe ich das richtig verstanden??? 🤡🤡🤡

#fdp #Parisclimateagreement #TempoLimit #klimaklage

Last updated 2 years ago

UN: "Transformational change" is required to meet Paris climate targets

A new report finds no "credible" scenario for limiting warming to 1.5°C.

axios.com/2022/10/27/climate-c

#ClimateCrisis #ClimateCatastrophe #cop27 #UnitedNations #Parisclimateagreement

Last updated 2 years ago