Eric's Risk Assessment ยท @EricCarroll
2395 followers ยท 4560 posts ยท Server zeroes.ca

As I watch the ramping up of institutional in , it is yet another wave's reminder that, at least in Canada, is mostly a cargo cult science.

"The form is perfect. ... But it doesn't work. No airplanes land. So I call these things cargo cult science, because they follow all the apparent precepts and forms of scientific investigation, but they're missing something essential, because the planes don't land." - Richard Feynman en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cargo_

We deeply need an IPAC discipline that takes transmission mitigation very seriously. We need an airborne revolution to get to , to

I know a few counterpoints to this view like Dr Victor Leung from BC who is a true practice leader in the field, but they are rare and rather quiet due to discipline pressure to conform to approved

If you are in IPAC, please help drive your discipline from a handwashing, droplet & contacts precaution compliance mindset to one that truely embraces airborne risk mitigation, if not elimination. Don't just transfer the risk to the patient, and wash your hands of it.

It might be my life you save. It certainly could have been both my parents.

#covid19 #outbreak #notifications #ontario #ipac #aerosol #airborne #cleanair #SafeAir #DropletDogma

Last updated 1 year ago

Eric's Risk Assessment ยท @EricCarroll
2012 followers ยท 3103 posts ยท Server zeroes.ca

You have a choice.

Accept the minimalist strategy we decided to pay for. You have accepted the path of increased societal risk. Stop complaining about PFAS

Or take action

1. Mitigate your risk with Clean the air you manage: , central filtration & ventilation

2. Defend yourself from unsafe air you don't control with high filtration or better respirator worn properly

3. Advocate to drive society to reduce the risk. Let your elected officials know this is not ok

#SafeAir #iaq #HEPA #n95

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment ยท @EricCarroll
1976 followers ยท 2961 posts ยท Server zeroes.ca

The other day I posted to praise my optician. Today I post to bury my dentist.

Ontario dentistry led the way in - it was classified as AGMP.

I discovered today my dentist has removed almost all the protections they had in place.

Let's understand this. They did work, spent money & staff time to downgrade previously existing precautions.

Thus placed my wife at risk today. Her only mistake - trusting medical professionals would not place her at risk.

We start daily RATs tomorrow...

#SafeAir

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment ยท @EricCarroll
1656 followers ยท 1977 posts ยท Server zeroes.ca

@steven @dgbassani @scarpino

Thus a approach is now *mandatory* to get R0<1 from a modelling perspective. No single NPI will do the job.

You need airborne mitigations , , , etc to get Rt<1 to stop the pandemic.

The issue is that as evolves, it is increasing its transmissivity & immune evasion.

As we delay doing the NPIs, the NPI cost is actually INCREASING in time.

There is an NPI cross-over curve that is changing over time, & its getting worse.

#DefenceInDepth #n95 #HEPA #SafeAir #sarscov2

Last updated 2 years ago

Eric's Risk Assessment ยท @EricCarroll
1347 followers ยท 1444 posts ยท Server zeroes.ca

@broadwaybabyto

tl;dr Yes

The risk is that is immunosuppressive

If hospitalized is immunosuppressiveโžก๏ธ medium impact

If "mild" is immunosuppresive, combined with โžก๏ธeveryone impacted

I assessed probability low initially but it has dramatically increased, with increasing confidence

What is the mitigation? Avoid

How? - Personal & central filtration aka respirator & hepa

COVID19 is probably the most transmissive virus we know, now exceeding measles

#SARS2 #covid19 #LetItRip #infection #SafeAir

Last updated 2 years ago