Invest 98B is gone

There is a new Invest in the South Pacific Tropical Cyclone Basin Invest 91P, there is very little certainty in the GFS Ensemble it may become a named system but it looks like it will take its time developing

Tropical Cyclone Darian has begun making an Extratropical transition so won't be a Tropical Cyclone for much longer

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So things may start getting quiet with Invest 98B likely to remain fairly disorganised as it crosses into the Arabian Sea.

Tropical Cyclone Darian is quite far from land and looks as though it will die at sea but for the time being remains a fairly powerful Tropical Cyclone

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Invest 98B looks as though it won't have any significant development anytime soon and will cross into the Arabian Sea

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ellie is now a disorganised depression over Central Australia and is unlikely to move back over water suitable for Tropical Cyclogenesis

Severe Tropical Cyclone Darian is still a very intense Tropical Cyclone out at Sea however it appears it will die at sea without significantly impacting land.

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So right now there are 3 Areas to watch when it comes to Tropical Cyclones, Ellie made landfall should be weakening now as it heads inland but still poses wind and flooding risk but as it dies out rainfall will become the bigger issue

Severe Tropical Cyclone Darian looks as if it will die at sea without impacting land however it is a very powerful TC with 100kt (185km/h or 115mph) sustained winds a Category 4 Severe Tropical Cyclone on ATCS, Intense Tropical Cyclone (Meteo France Tropical Cyclone Scale), or Category 3 Major Hurricane (Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale)

3rd there is Tropical Invest 98B in the Bay of Bengal which the Joint Typhoon Warning Center has at Low liklihood of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the next 24 hours

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Oh it is in the Southern Hemisphere I must be tired since I didn't even notice direction of spin, and it looks quite powerful it is a Category 5 Severe Tropical Cyclone on the Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale or Category 4 Major Hurricane on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale

Extract from Aus BoM Technical Bulletin Forecast:Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 21/1200: 13.7S 89.7E: 035 (060): 120 (220): 919 +12: 21/1800: 13.6S 88.9E: 040 (080): 120 (220): 920 +18: 22/0000: 13.4S 88.0E: 045 (090): 120 (220): 920 +24: 22/0600: 13.2S 87.2E: 050 (090): 115 (215): 926 +36: 22/1800: 13.1S 85.4E: 040 (075): 110 (205): 932 +48: 23/0600: 13.0S 83.6E: 050 (095): 110 (205): 932 +60: 23/1800: 13.0S 82.1E: 065 (125): 120 (220): 918 +72: 24/0600: 13.2S 81.1E: 085 (160): 120 (220): 918 +96: 25/0600: 14.4S 80.8E: 110 (205): 100 (185): 941 +120: 26/0600: 15.7S 81.2E: 130 (245): 070 (130): 969

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