The lecturer: 'Let's take a look at how we do that. This is going to be surprisingly easy.'

The lecture slides:

(No, but seriously, this is a great course for those aspiring to a better understanding of #bayesiandataanalysis.)

#rstats

Computing Bayes Factors is difficult in general. But for issues like "parameter > number", there is a nice method: _encompassing models_. It's simple, elegant and powerful, i.o.w., it's beautifully Bayesian. 🤩

Here is an overview: tinyurl.com/3pxs2pc9

#BDA #Bayes #BayesianDataAnalysis #ml #stats

New paper on the production of verbal expressions of (uncertain) probability #xprag. Using #BayesianDataAnalysis to investigate structural properties of the latent #semantics of expressions like "probable" or "low chance" in a probabilistic model of #pragmatic utterance choice.
Joint w/ Bob van Tiel & Uli Sauerland. #openaccess
https://doi.org/10.1162/opmi_a_00066