#SolarMaximum could hit us harder and sooner than we thought. How dangerous will the sun's chaotic peak be?
The sun is quickly approaching a major peak in solar activity. Experts warn it could potentially begin by the end of 2023, years before initial predictions suggested.
By Harry Baker, June 23, 2023
"Originally, scientists predicted that the current solar cycle would peak in 2025. But a bumper crop of sunspots, solar storms and rare solar phenomena suggest solar maximum could arrive by the end of this year at the earliest — and several experts told Live Science we are poorly prepared. "
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Latest #SolarHam news:
Flaring Continues
May 19, 2023 @ 03:30 UTC
"At least nine M-Flares during the past 24 hours, all of which were centered around newly assigned AR 3311. As of this update, the largest event was an M5.3 flare at 00:48 UTC (May 19). So far, none of the flares appear to have generated a coronal mass ejection (CME). An increased chance for an isolated X-Flare is now present."
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Lights Out
Failure to harden electrical structures and spent nuclear fuel storage leaves US, global population vulnerable to solar or terrorist induced apocalypse
by Michael Collins, October 14, 2014
"Should a serpentine #CME hit Earth head-on, the consequences would be catastrophic."
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Read more:
https://www.enviroreporter.com/2014/10/lights-out/
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#SolarHam needs our help!
2023 - 2025 (Solar Max) Website Fundraiser
Closes May 31, 2023.
Kevin @ SolarHam: "Running SolarHam is both expensive and time consuming. Although space weather is a passion of mine and I love reporting about the Sun, it is still a full time job and commitment. To put it bluntly, without your support, the SolarHam site will likely not continue in the future.
How To Donate:
Donations can be made securely via PayPal, even if you do not have a PayPal account. If you prefer not to use PayPal, please E-Mail for other options (kevin@solarcycle24.com).
Any donation big or small is greatly appreciated and goes directly towards the daily operation of the SolarHam website."
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#SolarHam Updates:
Minor Radiation Storm Continues
March 14, 2023 @ 18:50 UTC
Proton levels remain at the minor (S1) radiation storm threshold a full 36 hours following a major coronal mass ejection (CME) on the farside of the Sun. We can use common sense to understand that had the full halo CME estimated to be traveling at least 3000 km/s been Earth directed, we would be talking about a significant radiation storm and more than likely, a severe geomagnetic storm. Earth dodged a solar storm this time around, however the next several years will see more opportunities for major events as we head towards solar maximum."
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#Spaceweather news:
"EXTREMELY RARE' FARSIDE CME: Something big just happened on the farside of the sun. During the early hours of March 13th, SOHO coronagraphs recorded a farside halo CME leaving the sun faster than 3000 km/s.
"MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on March 15th and 16th in response to a number of incoming CMEs. NOAA forecasters believe that 2 or 3 glancing blows are possible, individually weak but collectively effective.
"FARSIDE SUNSPOTS: The source of yesterday's farside CME (described below) is a mystery, but there are two leading suspects. Helioseismic maps reveal a pair of large active regions on the far side of the sun.
"Both will rotate around to the Earthside of the sun within a week, potentially bringing potent sunspots into our planet's 'strike zone.' In the meantime we will keep an eye out for CMEs flying over the edge of the sun, indicating additional farside activity.
"Because of its extreme speed, this CME is classified as 'extremely rare,' a fast-mover that occurs only once every decade or so. A NASA model of the event shows the CME heading almost directly away from Earth. Good thing!
"Although the CME was not Earth-directed, it has nevertheless touched our planet.
"NOAA's GOES-16 satellite has detected the particles reaching Earth--all from the CME's backside. Imagine what a frontside blast would have been like. Earth's magnetic field is funneling the particles toward the poles where a type of radio blackout is underway--a polar cap absorption (PCA) event.
"Airplanes flying over these regions may find that their shortwave radios won't work due to the ionizing effect of infalling protons. This PCA could persist for a day or more."
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