8/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #SciencePolicyInterface

8/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #SciencePolicyInterface

4/

On #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems (CHANS), the classic overview by Liu et al. (2007) [2][3]

"complexity of organizational, spatial, and temporal couplings"

- "patterns and processes that link human and natural systems"

- "reciprocal interactions and feedbacks—both the effects of humans on the environment and the effects of the environment on humans"

- "how large-scale phenomena emerge from local interactions of multiple agents and in turn influence local system" [2]

#DeepUncertainty

7/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #SciencePolicyInterface

7/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #RobustModelling

2/

"[...] the impacts of #ClimateChange introduce immeasurable #uncertainty" [1]

Some "policymakers are beginning to grapple with the implications of the #DeepUncertainty in future climate change. They realize that the current “best practice” is risky, because it ignores this new situation and context.

Thus, regulations must be changed to reflect this new level of #complexity and that the university-level training that virtually every practicing professional has been using needs to shift" [1]

2/

"[...] the impacts of #ClimateChange introduce immeasurable #uncertainty".

Some "policymakers are beginning to grapple with the implications of the #DeepUncertainty in future climate change. They realize that the current “best practice” is risky, because it ignores this new situation and context.

Thus, regulations must be changed to reflect this new level of #complexity and that the university-level training that virtually every practicing professional has been using needs to shift"

Vast implications of Figure SPM.5 in the #IPCC AR6 summary

A "wise" immediate change of emission patterns (to minimise risk) has become so drastic now that one might wonder if we'll be ever able to achieve it before some #TippingPoint becomes irreversible

Tipping points mean there is #DeepUncertainty: which adds to the urgency of decisions in a policy landscape of disputed values and huge stakes (#PostNormalScience): we may be forced to navigate within effects of unpredictable magnitude