Dan is as usual scientifically interesting and as he admits nerve-wracking about the possible repeat possible #wx effects of the expected strong 2023-24 #ElNino. Most likely scenarios, currently, at 16:00 to 29:00. Includes likely wetter than avg winter in US SW, and S and Central CA, with drier than avg winter in PNW and W Canada. Not what anyone wants to hear up there. (N CA still unclear). https://www.youtube.com/live/MtADV0OPoPM?si=SfTPL4Uc77VQFLkB

“While Boyd said it’s difficult to forecast beyond 10 to 12 days, the hydrologist added that B.C. is moving into an #ElNiño winter, a weather pattern associated with warmer temperatures and potentially wetter conditions.

If El Niño does bring higher-than-average #rainfall, it could spell disaster in areas impacted by this summer’s #wildfires, he said.”

Zwei #Ernteausfälle am Stück und Europa wird ein weiteres Mal im Blut ersaufen.
Die nächsten Jahre werden sehr sehr schlimm .
#klimakatastrophe
#elnino

Have you been wondering what El Niño means for your weather this winter? Or what climate scientists think about the climate extremes that suddenly seem to be everywhere, all at once?

Spoiler: One told me she's been binge-watching survival reality TV shows like "Alone" that drop contestants in the wilderness to see how long they can withstand—a cinematic version of the shifting reality many are starting to face off-screen.

More at @TheAtlantic: https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/09/fall-winter-heat-el-nino-climate-change/675238/ #ClimateChange #ElNiño

#Summer of 2023 #HottestRecorded in ‘wake-up’ call to cut #CarbonEmissions

#ClimateCrisis and #ElNiño drive #ExtremeWeather and push temperatures to 1.5C higher than preindustrial average
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/06/summer-of-2023-hottest-recorded-in-wake-up-call-to-cut-carbon-emissions

"Southeast Asia could see the return of transboundary haze later this year, as Indonesia battles an increased number of wildfires amid a prolonged dry season, said observers.

The dry weather, exacerbated by the El Niño weather pattern which brings lower rainfall, is intensifying across the country and is expected to peak this month, mostly over Sumatra."

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/asia/haze-risk-southeast-asia-singapore-indonesia-battles-wildfires-prolonged-dry-season-el-nino-3747236

#Singapore #Indonesia #Malaysia #Brunei #Haze #ElNino #Weather

Is it #causation, or #correlation?

Extreme #ElNiño #weather switched off South American's #carbon sink | Corporate | University of Leeds https://www.leeds.ac.uk/news-environment/news/article/5391/extreme-el-ni-o-weather-switched-off-south-american-s-carbon-sink

#climatecrisis #climateChange

🔥 #EmergenciaClimática ¡La Paz puede quedarse sin #agua pronto! 💧 Según la Plataforma #Bolivia|na Frente al #CambioClimático (#PBFCC), cinco causas pueden llevar a una crisis hídrica en #LaPaz: el aumento de la temperatura, el fenómeno de #ElNiño, el derretimiento de los glaciares en la región, la evaporación y el crecimiento de la demanda de agua: https://cambioclimatico.org.bo/contenido/alertan-sobre-la-urgencia-de-tomar-acciones-para-que-la-paz-no-se-quede-sin-agua-pronto/ #EmergenciaClimática 🌎

From Los Angeles Times: As El Niño gathers strength, lawmakers look to fortify Pajaro’s flood-ravaged levee

#ElNino #California

https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2023-08-31/as-el-nino-nears-lawmakers-look-to-fortify-pajaro-levee

Greece blaze the ‘largest wildfire recorded in EU’

>A forest blaze in Greece is “the largest wildfire ever recorded in the EU” and the bloc is mobilising nearly half its firefighting air wing to tackle it, a European Commission spokesman said yesterday.
https://www.gulf-times.com/article/667492/international/greece-blaze-the-largest-wildfire-recorded-in-eu #Greece #wildfires #GreeceWildfires #climatechange #climatecrisis #globalwarming #elnino

Interessante articolo su come il Nino 🌬️ e il surriscaldamento ♨️ dell’Oceano 🌊 Atlantico possa potenziare gli uragani 🌪

🔗 🇮🇹 https://it.euronews.com/green/2023/08/30/el-nino-atlantico-la-causa-di-uragani-piu-potenti-a-rivelarlo-un-recente-studio

🔗 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230831-how-climate-change-boosts-hurricanes

#globalwarming #elnino #hurricane https://mastodon.uno/@theTractor/110986160185044247
#mastonotizie

// #Rice to #wheat, #Asian crops #forecast lower as #ElNino worsens : https://www.chinadailyasia.com/article/348549#From-rice-to-wheat-Asian-crops-forecast-lower-as-El-Nino-worsens

: #repost #chinadailyasia #timeline

Around twice a decade #ElNiño impacts #food production & causes wider #inflationary pressure... so the expectation that this year's El Niño is about to to do the same is not good news for UK #consumers who might have hoped that food price #inflation had peaked & was starting to subside...

While our domestic #food supplies are not likely to be effected significantly by any environmental ripples from El Niño, much of our imported food may be...

So, little relief from the #costsoflivingcrisis!

"The first half of Jair Bolsonaro’s presidency was so destructive for the Amazon that it was comparable to the record 2016 El Niño drought and heatwave in terms of carbon emissions, according to scientists."

#Amazon #AmazonRainforest #ElNino #Emissions #Carbon #CarbonDioxide

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/23/amazons-emissions-doubled-under-first-half-of-bolsonaros-presidency-aoe

#Klimakrise #Ozeane #elnino

Neu von mir auf Telepolis:
https://www.telepolis.de/features/Neuer-Rekord-Warum-sind-Luft-und-Meere-so-heiss-wie-nie-zuvor-9286034.html

Really excellent piece on #ElNino + impacts in @TheEconomist We need to prepare now for the coming storms. As ever, poorer countries are likely to suffer more. There is nothing better than good governance and robust infrastructure to deal with the #ClimateDisruption.

#climateChange in the mix will likely make everything worse.
🎁 link opens 5 times

El Niño and global warming are mixing in alarming ways from The Economist
https://econ.st/3szzc0l

El Niño, a climate phenomenon that warms the Pacific Ocean, is affecting the world’s major shipping routes. The Panama Canal, a vital shortcut for global trade, is facing water shortages and imposing restrictions on ships. This could increase the cost and time of transporting goods and commodities across the oceans. #elnino #shipping #trade
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/21/el-nino-major-shipping-routes-are-struggling-with-water-shortages.html?utm_source=flipboard&utm_content=HariTulsidas%2Fmagazine%2FArchetypes

India set to ban sugar exports for first time in 7 years | The Daily Star

Lack of rain...

>India's absence from the world market would be likely to increase benchmark prices in New York and London that are already trading around multi-year highs, triggering fears of further inflation on global food markets.
https://www.thedailystar.net/business/news/india-set-ban-sugar-exports-first-time-7-years-3401306 #India #economy #climatechange #elnino #globalwarning #climatecrisis #inflation #sugar

"Two of the world's few tropical glaciers in Indonesia are melting, their ice under threat to vanish by 2026 or sooner, as an El Nino weather pattern lengthens the dry season in the southeast Asian nation, its geophysics agency said on Wednesday."

#Indonesia #Environment #Glaciers #ElNino

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/el-nino-could-doom-indonesias-rare-tropical-glaciers-by-2026-2023-08-23/

"Two of the world’s few #TropicalGlaciers in #Indonesia are melting, and their #ice may vanish by 2026 or sooner, as an #ElNiño weather pattern lengthens the #DrySeason, the country’s geophysics agency has said."

"Indonesia’s tropical #EternityGlaciers could vanish within a few years, experts warn | #ClimateCrisis | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/25/indonesia-tropical-glaciers-melting-el-nino