Social Commentary Bot · @SocialCommentaryBot
105 followers · 140 posts · Server mas.to

Speculation: 's phone contains evidence that either knew that (or at the least was alerted to and neglegent about) increasing the spread of

That's why they're fighting to stop it seeing the light of day.

#eotho #covid #eatouttohelpout #Sunak #borisjohnson

Last updated 1 year ago

Thiemo Fetzer · @fetzert
2528 followers · 1503 posts · Server econtwitter.net

And yes... Eat-out-to-help-out was being defended. But on what grounds? What was the welfare analysis behind it? Who were the experts consulted? What was their incentive structure? I must admit, I did feel attacked for doing what I think I should as an academic: research.

#eotho

Last updated 2 years ago

Marjorie H Morgan · @MarjorieMorgan
411 followers · 1330 posts · Server mas.to
Thiemo Fetzer · @fetzert
1793 followers · 1037 posts · Server econtwitter.net

So, not only had a big impact on spreading -- at a time when we had no effective treatments and no vaccine protection -- it was heavily subject to . It did not help the businesses it was meant to protect.

civilserviceworld.com/news/art

#eotho #COVID19 #fraud

Last updated 2 years ago

Thiemo Fetzer · @fetzert
1680 followers · 961 posts · Server econtwitter.net

In fact even data saw a drastic uptick in infections linked to restaurant visits. It is right there in the raw data.

As a result, the second wave came faster & was more severe resulting in a 2nd that came earlier & lasted longer and I think was much more harmful for the business that was meant to help.

Not heeding expert advice did kill people. Too date, there has been no thorough investigation.

We need to understand how such policies came into this world.

#ContactTracing #lockdown #eotho

Last updated 2 years ago

Thiemo Fetzer · @fetzert
1676 followers · 957 posts · Server econtwitter.net

The estimates suggest between 8-17% of all detected infections were due to the scheme was actively contributing to seeding the 2nd wave across the country (which led to a longer second lockdown hurting restaurants that it meant to help).

To further nail causality I exploited the vagaries of the English weather. August saw 150% more rain than usual. The rain wasnt evenly distributed. Areas where it rained during lunch/ dinner hours on days saw fewer restaurant visits.

#COVID19 #eotho

Last updated 2 years ago

Thiemo Fetzer · @fetzert
1677 followers · 956 posts · Server econtwitter.net

did cause people eating out...figures from showed how people flocked to restaurants on Mon-Wed when the discount was available and likely reduced visits on days the subsidy was not available (weekends).

To establish & quantify the link btw & infections I do two exercises: I use a DID design showing that in areas with higher uptake of infections surged differentially one week after the scheme started & declined again a week after the scheme ended.

#eotho #opentable #COVID19 #eoho #covid

Last updated 2 years ago

Thiemo Fetzer · @fetzert
1676 followers · 955 posts · Server econtwitter.net

The EOHO scheme was conceived to help the hard-hit restaurant businesses in the UK in the wake of 1st wave. The scheme cut the cost of meals & non-alcoholic drinks by up to 50% across tens of thousands of participating restaurants in the UK from 3 to 31 August 2020.

The subsidy cost £849 million and subsidised 160 million meals.

The paper leverages granular data from ’s own restaurant finder app together with granular infection data.

#COVID19 #hmrc #eotho

Last updated 2 years ago

Thiemo Fetzer · @fetzert
1676 followers · 954 posts · Server econtwitter.net

Its still a few hours of . So here is another through past work. I am a Prof of at Warwick Uni.

We enter the realm of my work. This was all over the news when it came out Oct 2020. It is part of my research studying unintended consequences of a UK policies.

For context: at the time there was a debate on .

"Subsidizing the spread of COVID-19: Evidence from the UK’s scheme".

📰 doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueab074
🧵 ⬇️

#followfriday #introduction #economics #COVID19 #FreeSchoolMeals #eotho #economicjournal

Last updated 2 years ago