Update to #rstats 📦 apisensr (https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/apisensr/), a Shiny front-end to 📦 episensr:
- additional functions from episensr 1.3.0 (counfounders.array, confounders.ext, misclassification.cov, multidimBias, misclassification using predictive values),
- parameters’ tables automatically resizing to window,
- option to set a seed for probabilistic analyses.

Also live at https://dhaine.shinyapps.io/apisensr/.
#epidemiology #epiverse 1/2

1/ 📄Preprint news!📄

"The impact of climate change and natural climate variability on the global distribution of Aedes aegypti"

▶️ Authors: Alex Kaye, Uri Obolski, Lantao Sun, James Hurrell, Mike Tildesley, RobinThompson.

🔗: https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.08.31.23294902

#InfectiousDisease #EpiVerse #OneHealth #epidemiology #research #academia #science

1/ At third and final day of @IDDconf 2023, there are three more contributions from @WarwickSBIDER!

Talks from PhD Student Michael Smah, Dept. of Statistics Simon Spencer & @WMI_research Ed Hill (@EdMHill)

#science #academia #research #epidemiology #modelling #EpiVerse #InfectiousDisease

Slides from my talk at the CEIRR annual meeting are on my website now: https://wzbillings.com/presentations/2023-ceirr/. Talk is titled "Quantifying the breadth of vaccine response with antigenic distance." and is specifically about #influenza #vaccines but is mostly about a methodological problem. #epiverse

From one of that talks at IDDconf today, a summary of the JUNIPER partnership and upcoming activities.

Exciting opportunities to engage and be involved in an inter-university community of epidemiological modellers working at the interface of infectious disease control and health policy!

🔗: https://maths.org/juniper/

#science #academia #research #epidemiology #modelling #EpiVerse #InfectiousDisease

1/ Day 2 of IDDconf2023!

Three contributions in the morning talks from HATMEPP's Sam Sutherland, MathSys CDT PhD student Alex Kaye, HATMEPP's Ching-I Huang & @WMI_research Louise Dyson.

#science #academia #research #epidemiology #modelling #EpiVerse #InfectiousDisease

#SARS2 exhibits a cunning epidemiological strategy. Its delayed and progressive impacts seem to manifest just beyond typical election cycles, conveniently allowing leaders to overlook its long-term consequences, as their immediate political futures are unaffected by the denial.

#EpiVerse #epidemiology

Update to #rstats 📦 episensr, version 1.3.0 to include bias-adjusting for exposure misclassification using predictive values https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/episensr/ https://dhaine.github.io/episensr/ #epiverse #epidemiology

1/ “FAO Animal Production & Health / Report 20: Global consultation on highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI)”

▶️ FAO & Network of Expertise on Animal Influenza (OFFLU) brought together scientific community to review latest scientific evidence

▶️ Meeting held 02-04 May 2023, attended by over 200 participants in-person & online

▶️ Report summarises meeting discussions & key recommendations

Report 🔗: https://www.fao.org/3/cc7302en/cc7302en.pdf

#HPAI #H5N1 #influenza #epidemiology #EpiVerse #OneHealth #zoonotic

#Pirola found in #Scotland. With every new discovery, this variant seems more likely to have a fitness advantage. It's just so widespread now.

#EpiVerse #CovidIsNotOver
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-66670500

Sharing a paper I'm co-first-author on out today in BMC Medicine:

Tabby2: a user-friendly web tool for forecasting state-level TB outcomes in the United States

https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-023-02785-y

This is our writeup about the #shiny app we built to allow users to flexibly forecast the effects of interventions on tuberculosis, including improvements to targeted testing and treatment, diagnostics, and improvements to the care cascade.

#EpiVerse #Epidemiology #TB #Tuberculosis #Web #rstats @rstats

1/ 🎙️ Podcast alert 🎙️

Latest episode of the SBIDER Careers Podcast is now released, co-hosted by myself along with Laura Guzman Rincon!

For this episode we are joined by Sam Sutherland, a Research Associate (RA) in @WarwickSBIDER & a team member of the Human African Trypanosomiasis Modelling and Economic Predictions for Policy (HAT MEPP) research project.

🔗: https://www.podbean.com/eas/pb-w9f4c-14840af

#podcast #science #research #academia #SciComm #epidemiology #modelling #EpiVerse

1/ 🎙️ Podcast alert 🎙️

Listen to our latest episode of the SBIDER Careers Podcast!

In this episode @EdMHill and Laura Guzman Rincon are joined by health economist Sam Sutherland, a Research Associate (RA) in @WarwickSBIDER & a team member of the Human African Trypanosomiasis Modelling and Economic Predictions for Policy (HAT MEPP) research project.

🔗: https://www.podbean.com/eas/pb-w9f4c-14840af

#podcast #science #research #academia #SciComm #epidemiology #modelling #EpiVerse @academicchatter

🆕 EPI-PHARE co-signe avec l'AP-HP un article dans le 𝘑𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘰𝘧 𝘈𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘪𝘤𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘊𝘩𝘦𝘮𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘱𝘺

💡 Prevalence and associated factors of antibiotic exposure during pregnancy

Dans une cohorte de plus de 9 millions de grossesses :
✅ 35,8 % ont été exposées à des antibiotiques ;
✅ l’amoxicilline est le plus couramment prescrit ;
✅ les prescriptions d’antibiotiques sont moins fréquentes pendant la grossesse que pendant l’année précédente.

#EpiVerse #grossesse #antibiotiques

👉 https://www.epi-phare.fr/rapports-detudes-et-publications/antibiotiques-grossesse/

1/ Summary of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in the UK & Europe

▶️ In last 4-6 weeks, cases of HPAI H5 in wild birds & confirmations in domestic poultry premises continue to be reported in Great Britain.

▶️ See thread for summary of HPAI in UK & Europe from Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs outbreak assessment for 18 August 2023 (report released 24 August 2023).

🔗: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1180257/HPAI_Europe__44_18_August_2023_.pdf

#AvianFlu #BirdFlu #influenza #H5N1 #OneHealth #science #epidemiology #EpiVerse

New week? New results for #BA286 / #Pirola in #Switzerland from our #Wastewater surveillance of #SARSCoV2 variants:
We observe it in multiple locations, at low abundance.

Original announcement Xitter thread by our lab group -- Prof. Niko Beerenwinkel's Computational Biology Group (CBG) at ETHZ:
https://twitter.com/cbg_ethz/status/1696117917731921997

…
🧵

#Epiverse
#COVID
#Epidemiology

A Tale of Two Viruses: #Smallpox strains variola major & minor share 98% genetics but differ vastly in IFR (1% vs 30%). Now, #SARSCoV2 variants like BA.2.86 are ~99.6% similar to the original. In <10yrs, we could reach Smallpox-level diversity. Small changes, BIG risks—deadly #COVID19 variants with IFRs like #SARS or #MERS could emerge.

#EpiVerse

We have detected #Ba286 / #Pirola in #Switzerland, as part or our #wastewater -based #surveillance of #variants of #SARSCoV2 :
in our most recent batch, in two samples coming from the treatment plant in Laupen (in canton Bern), sampled on Aug 5th and 6h.

Original announcement Xitter thread by Prof @TanjaStadler : https://twitter.com/TanjaStadler_CH/status/1694298380841996613

…
🧵

#Epiverse
#COVID
#Epidemiology

🏔️ #CDC #BA286 update:
- tests & treatments still working;
- may easily infect vaccinated/previous #COVID folks
- severity unknown, but no nastier signs
- possibly more transmissible
- over 30 mutations from #Omicron
- Found in wastewater

#EpiVerse

https://www.cdc.gov/respiratory-viruses/whats-new/covid-19-variant.html

@chasewnelson @naturemedicine

What caught my eye: among the 80 sequelae, 31% and 65% (for non-hospitalized and hospitalized) were still at statistically significantly higher risk ratios at 2 years compared to the control group (uninfected). That's pretty intense considering some of these still statistically significant sequelae are **death**, hospitalization, heart conditions/events, vomiting, etc., for the hospitalized group.

#COVID #LongCOVID #HealthEquity #EpiVerse