Published papers at TMLR · @tmlrpub
566 followers · 607 posts · Server sigmoid.social
HERMES: Hybrid Error-corrector Model with inclusion of External Signals for nonstationary fashion...
Etienne David, Jean Bellot, Sylvain Le Corff
Action editor: Makoto Yamada.
Matthias Jakobs · @jakobs
35 followers · 4 posts · Server sigmoid.socialOur paper "Explainable Adaptive Tree-based Model Selection for Time-Series Forecasting" with Amal Saadallah just got accepted as a regular paper at IEEE ICDM'23! See you in Shanghai #ieee #icdm #timeseries #explainability #xai #forecasting
#IEEE #icdm #TimeSeries #explainability #xai #forecasting
Rami Krispin :unverified: · @ramikrispin
1034 followers · 537 posts · Server mstdn.socialI am excited to present in November at the Oredev Developer Conference in Sweden about forecasting and MLOps 🚀. In addition, I will run a workshop about forecasting methods with regression models ❤️.
Please ping me if you are going to be there!
#oredev #forecasting #MLops #DataScience
Judith van Stegeren · @jd7h
92 followers · 114 posts · Server fosstodon.orgTIL prediction markets
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-passage-of-polymarket
I've looked at a few platforms today and it's fascinating how many statements (markets) are about AI developments at the moment.
#predictionmarkets #manifold #polymarket #metaculus #predictions #forecasting
#predictionmarkets #manifold #polymarket #metaculus #predictions #forecasting
Rami Krispin :unverified: · @ramikrispin
988 followers · 500 posts · Server mstdn.social
(1/3) Retiring open-source project 🧵 ⬇️
The TSstudio package is one of the first #opensource projects I did. On my way to holiday break on December 2017, I was bored during a 12 hours flight and decided to package a few common #dataviz functions I love to use for time series data. A few days after, the first version was on CRAN. In the following year, I spent many hours enjoying developing additional functionalities and tools for #timeseries analysis and #forecasting
#DataScience #RStats #forecasting #timeseries #dataviz #OpenSource
Published papers at TMLR · @tmlrpub
553 followers · 555 posts · Server sigmoid.social
Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encoder
Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Andrew Leach, Shaan K Mathur, Rajat Sen, Rose Yu
Action editor: Alessandro Sperduti.
#forecasting #encoder #transformer
:rss: Explore Live Nature Cams · @youtube_ExploreLiveNatureCams
2 followers · 2 posts · Server rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.comForecasting the Aurora
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Eb_vuijXgk
#youtube_ExploreLiveNatureCams #explore_org #explore #live_nature_cams #animal_cams #animal_videos #explore_live_nature_cams #live_chat #explore_live_chats #expert_naturalists #education #live_education #live_events #Explore_live_Events #Live_naturalists #conservation #aurora #forecasting #university_alaska_fairbanks #northern_lights #experts #interview
#youtube_explorelivenaturecams #explore_org #explore #live_nature_cams #animal_cams #animal_videos #explore_live_nature_cams #live_chat #explore_live_chats #expert_naturalists #education #live_education #live_events #explore_live_events #live_naturalists #conservation #aurora #forecasting #university_alaska_fairbanks #northern_lights #experts #interview
Javad Rahimipour Anaraki · @jranaraki
16 followers · 21 posts · Server fediscience.orgI am a senior researcher at Huawei Canada, working on #timeseries #forecasting methods. Previously, I was a postdoc at the Institute of Biomedical Engineering, UofT and Holland Bloorview Kids Rehabilitation Hospital, focusing on brain signal analysis and tool development for kids with severe movement disabilities.
Debarko ☑️ · @debarko
7 followers · 11 posts · Server fosstodon.orgFinally got the entire database of a website. Took overall 15 hours to write the #script. Ran for 2 hours straight and my aws dynamo is filled with data....
Data data and more data... :ablobcathappypaws:
Soon will publish a website on top of the database. #stocks #forecasting
Stu Watts · @StuWatts
21 followers · 80 posts · Server hachyderm.io
Well, it might not look like much but this is the culmination of a few months of design, research and development. That's Grafana basing alert rules off dynamically generated thresholds for highly seasonal (synthetic) data, calculated on-demand using Facebook's Prophet statistical analysis package. #monitoring #forecasting #datasci #grafana #prometheus #python #adultlearning #compsci #msc
#monitoring #forecasting #datasci #grafana #prometheus #python #adultlearning #compsci #msc
New Submissions to TMLR · @tmlrsub
198 followers · 694 posts · Server sigmoid.social
Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encoder
#forecasting #encoder #transformer
New Submissions to TMLR · @tmlrsub
198 followers · 689 posts · Server sigmoid.social
Probabilistic Forecasting with Coherent Aggregation
#forecasting #forecasts #aggregation
Nick Byrd · @ByrdNick
884 followers · 508 posts · Server nerdculture.de
Can disagreement and deliberation change experts' minds? If so, what kinds of conditions will encourage experts to consider changing their minds?
A multi-stage tournament reports that "Few minds were changed..., even among the most active participants, despite monetary incentives for persuading others." Still, "superforecasters had a slightly greater tendency to converge over time than experts."
https://forecastingresearch.org/xpt
#rationality #expertise #epistemology #cogSci #xPhi #risk #AI #forecasting
#rationality #expertise #epistemology #cogsci #xPhi #risk #ai #forecasting
Research Network Digi-Oek.ch · @DigiOekCH
14 followers · 103 posts · Server social.tchncs.dePaper Prof #Solove, #Matsumi:
The #Prediction Society: #Algorithms and the Problems of #Forecasting the #Future
"The higher the stakes of decisions on people’s lives, the more rigorously #algorithmic predictions must be scrutinized."
"... #phrenology ... recognized as a pseudo-science, similar claims are resurfacing ... Harrisburg University claimed ... #facialrecognition software capable of predicting whether someone is likely going to be a #criminal."
#solove #matsumi #prediction #algorithms #forecasting #future #algorithmic #phrenology #facialrecognition #criminal #predictive
New Submissions to TMLR · @tmlrsub
193 followers · 671 posts · Server sigmoid.social
TSMixer: An all-MLP Architecture for Time Series Forecast-ing
#forecasting #forecast #perceptrons
GregCocks · @GregCocks
398 followers · 433 posts · Server techhub.social
AGU23 Session Submittal Requests - Flash Floods and Debris Flows After Wildfire - Process Understanding to Hazard Assessment
--
https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm23/prelim.cgi/Session/186554 <-- make submittal
--
“Do you work in postfire hazards? Consider presenting in our AGU 2023 session, "Flash Floods and Debris Flows after Wildfire." The abstract submission deadline is Wednesday, August 2nd!..” ~ Matthew A. Thomas, USGS
#GIS #spatial #mapping #callforsubmissions #research #results #AGU #AGU23 #conference #paper #submittals #floods #massmovement #engineeringgeology #flashflood #flooding #debrisflow #naturalhazards #riskhazard #risk #hazard #assessment #postfire #wildfire #bushfire #forestfire #fire #climatechange #extremeweather #urban #urbancorridors #mitigation #water #hydrology #model #modeling #geomorphology #meteorology #weather #rainfall #precipitation #publicsafety #monitoring #forecasting #gischat #remotesensing #process #processes #AGU #AGU23
@AGU
#conference #paper #gis #spatial #mapping #callforsubmissions #research #results #AGU #agu23 #submittals #floods #massmovement #engineeringgeology #flashflood #flooding #debrisflow #NaturalHazards #riskhazard #risk #hazard #postfire #wildfire #bushfire #forestfire #fire #climatechange #extremeweather #urban #urbancorridors #mitigation #water #hydrology #model #modeling #geomorphology #meteorology #weather #rainfall #precipitation #publicsafety #monitoring #forecasting #gischat #remotesensing #assessment #process #processes
Nishtha Srivastava · @nishtha_srivastava
191 followers · 63 posts · Server techhub.socialExtremely proud to present my group's pre-print paper executed by my PhD student Mr. Jonas Köhler on #earthquake #forecasting using #deeplearning. We pose earthquake forecasting as a classification problem and train a Neural Network to decide, whether a #timeseries of length greater than 2 years will end in an earthquake on the following day with magnitude greater than 5 or not. The study could be summarised in following three points: 1) We use spatio-temporal b value data, on which we train an #autoencoder to learn the normal seismic behaviour. 2) We then take the pixel by pixel reconstruction error as input for a Convolutional Dilated Network classifier, whose model output could serve for earthquake forecasting. 3) We develop a special progressive training method for this model to mimic real life use. #data #research #ai4good #ai4science #seismology
https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.01812
#earthquake #forecasting #deeplearning #TimeSeries #autoencoder #data #research #ai4good #ai4science #seismology
· @maxpool
77 followers · 43 posts · Server mathstodon.xyz
Professional “superforecasters” are more optimistic about the future than AI experts. https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2023/07/10/what-are-the-chances-of-an-ai-apocalypse
#theeconomist #forecasting #ExistentialRisk #ai
Mateo · @Ligeirinho
111 followers · 472 posts · Server mapstodon.space
July 9th and no monsoon in sight
‘Both [the NMME and the GFDL_SPEAR] show a lack of skill or ability to accurately forecast precipitation during the monsoon in 2023. The NMME
forecast is particularly out of character with a near zero skill showing up for much of NM in 2023.’ https://www.weather.gov/abq/northamericanmonsoon-typicalpatterns #weather #maps #forecasting #model
#weather #maps #forecasting #model
Mr.Trunk · @mrtrunk
3 followers · 2278 posts · Server dromedary.seedoubleyou.me
Gizmodo: AI Systems Could Help Us Speed Up Extreme Weather Forecasting, Studies Show https://gizmodo.com/ai-systems-speed-up-extreme-weather-forecasting-study-1850615054 #numericalweatherprediction #statisticalforecasting #solarpowerforecasting #weatherforecasting #weatherprediction #disasteraccident #atmosphericmodel #broadcasting #forecasting #meteorology #environment #nowcasting #deepmind #weather #tianqi #huawei #news
#numericalweatherprediction #statisticalforecasting #solarpowerforecasting #weatherforecasting #weatherprediction #disasteraccident #atmosphericmodel #broadcasting #forecasting #meteorology #environment #nowcasting #deepmind #weather #tianqi #huawei #news