Michael Bell · @pontulo
362 followers · 2687 posts · Server mindly.social

Predictions for the GOP Primary:

After the second debate at the end of September we'll see everyone who hasn't made the debate stage already (Suarez etc) drop out. Then after the Iowa caucus Hutchinson, Bergum, and Scott will drop out, and their votes will split between Pence and Haley. Ramaswamy's ceiling will be very low, but he'll stay in for as long as possible, same with Christie, because neither of them is seriously running for the nomination



#gopprimary #uspolitics #republicanprimary

Last updated 1 year ago

Michael Bell · @pontulo
362 followers · 2679 posts · Server mindly.social

If I had to predict the first post-debate national polling, (assuming the debate has any impact) I'd predict a small rise for Haley, Ramaswamy, and Pence, maybe 1-2 points each, coming entirely from a 4-6 point drop for DeSantis

#gopprimary

Last updated 1 year ago

Jeff Craig · @foxxtrot
60 followers · 800 posts · Server dice.camp

Got a mailer addressed to the old couple we bought our house from for Ron DeSantis' campaign (really hope this was only sent to them on account of age), and in it, DeSantis is trying to make a big deal out of being the only candidate with Military experience.

Which is true. He was a Navy Lawyer.

At Guantanamo Bay.

Justifying the US Torture Program.

So weird they left that part out.

theguardian.com/us-news/2023/a

#uspol #gopprimary

Last updated 1 year ago

Chris J. Karr · @chris
144 followers · 1509 posts · Server omgwars.com
U.S. Politics in Real Time · @uspolitics
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U.S. Politics in Real Time · @uspolitics
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U.S. Politics in Real Time · @uspolitics
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Political IQ · @PoliticalIQ
164 followers · 1502 posts · Server newsie.social
Adamas Nemesis · @adamasnemesis
805 followers · 5865 posts · Server social.adamasnemesis.com

Blink and you might have missed his announcement, but of all the Republican candidates not named Trump or DeSantis Doug Burgum might have the best chance of running away with the 2024 election.

@baseballot gives some good reasons here:

fivethirtyeight.com/features/d

#politics #elections #gop #republicans #gopprimary #primary #2024election

Last updated 1 year ago

Political IQ · @PoliticalIQ
138 followers · 1234 posts · Server newsie.social
J.R Ewing · @suki
28 followers · 445 posts · Server noc.social

Ron endorsed Kelly in the governor's race. She lost badly.

#governor #gopprimary #kygovernor #kentucky #craft #desantis

Last updated 1 year ago

edgeoforever 🍎 · @edgeoforever
1262 followers · 16845 posts · Server mastodon.world

GOP candidates chasing Trump are eating their own: report - Raw Story - Celebrating 19 Years of Independent Journalism rawstory.com/amp/donald-trump- they are afraid of tfg retaliation. With eviscerating De Santis, tfg is also scaring the little ones away

#uspolitics #elections #gopprimary

Last updated 1 year ago

· @pdougmc
26 followers · 971 posts · Server mastodon.cloud

Conservative talk radio host Larry Elder, who sought to replace the California governor in a failed 2021 recall effort, announced Thursday he is running for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024.

Elder, 70, made the announcement on Fox News’ “Tucker Carlson Tonight” and followed up with a tweet.

#gopprimary

Last updated 1 year ago

· @pdougmc
26 followers · 966 posts · Server mastodon.cloud

By Trip Gabriel

Reporting from Rochester and Henniker in New Hampshire.

April 20, 2023

Don’t ask Chris Christie what “lane” there is for him in the Republican primary. Don’t ask how someone polling at 1 percent, who is sharply critical of Donald J. Trump, could possibly win the 2024 nomination when the party base has no tolerance for attacks on the former president.

#gopprimary

Last updated 1 year ago

Bogie B. 🇨🇦 🇺🇸 · @bogie
84 followers · 354 posts · Server mas.to

#gopprimary #foxnews

Last updated 1 year ago

Mittens McSmithers · @mittensmcsmithers
161 followers · 863 posts · Server mastodon.world

@GottaLaff

Just an opinion here, but I'm not sure 's actual goal is winning. I believe she's shrewdly positioning herself to be the obvious choice for a slot regardless of who survives the .

It's the . She still gets to raise a mess-ton of money, brings the vote, raises her profile on a national level, and gets to "win" while staying out of the shit-slinging disaster that will be .

It's the smart play...

#nikkihaley #vp #gopprimary #kamalaharrismaneuver #whitewomenforjesus #trumpvsdesantis

Last updated 1 year ago

Kentaro :) · @genzdem
4 followers · 17 posts · Server masto.ai
CHAUNCEY I. BROWN III · @nytalkradiohost
75 followers · 1127 posts · Server masthead.social