Nick Byrd · @ByrdNick
818 followers · 378 posts · Server nerdculture.de
"compromise forecasts, defined as the average prediction in a group [we]re more accurate, and that this advantage persist[ed] through time" in "5 years of data from the Good Judgement Project".
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.221216
#Prediction #BigData #Forecasting #JudgmentAndDecisionMaking #JDM #epistemology #polling #stats
#prediction #bigdata #forecasting #judgmentanddecisionmaking #jdm #epistemology #polling #stats
Nick Byrd · @ByrdNick
758 followers · 242 posts · Server nerdculture.de
Older people (over 55) were less prone to a certain type of #deliberation during #buying and #donation #decisions—even though they were more ambivalent (and #ambivalence correlated with more deliberation) and even when controlling for working #memory—than younger people (18-24). Total N = 120.
Images of pages from the article are attached: https://ir.ua.edu/handle/123456789/9902
#age #CriticalThinking #DecisionScience #JudgmentAndDecisionMaking #JDM #DevelopmentalPsychology #DevPsych #Psychology #CogSci
#deliberation #buying #donation #decisions #Ambivalence #memory #age #criticalthinking #decisionscience #judgmentanddecisionmaking #jdm #developmentalpsychology #DevPsych #psychology #cogsci