I originally expected #primacy, #ConfirmationBias and #overconfidence to clearly emerge in our procedure and in our sample. I guess #replication is hard. On the other hand, one may argue that the original effects are typically shown using more artificial tasks and novice #decisionmakers. It could be that experts in more realistic tasks within their domain think more carefully and thus mostly avoid the biases (i.e. #NaturalisticDecisionMaking). (3/4)
#primacy #confirmationbias #overconfidence #replication #decisionmakers #naturalisticdecisionmaking