Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Tuesday- 4th of July- Weather Update

Predicting the exact location of the storms over the past few days hasn’t been easy, nor is it ever. The models forecasts can be extraordinary, but they’re models of reality, not reality.

Today, Monday,... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17565
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Monday Update

Updated Mon 07/03 @ 3:13 PM — The 14z HRRR model has little in the way of thunderstorm activity in Philadelphia this afternoon and evening.

Here’s the HRRR—

(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/HRR... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17565
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Monday Update

Updated Mon 07/03 @ 3:13 PM — The 14z HRRR model has little in the way of thunderstorm activity in Philadelphia this afternoon and evening.

(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/HRRR_07-03-23_1515_36.jpg)1... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17565
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Monday Update

Updated Mon 07/03 @ 3:13 PM — The 14z HRRR model has little in the way of thunderstorm activity in Philadelphia this afternoon and evening.

(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/HRRR_07-03-23_1515_36.jpg)1... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17565
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Monday Forecast Update

Updated Mon 07/03 @ 11:44 AM — This morning’s models again has the majority of today’s thunderstorms moving through to our far north and south. The immediate Philadelphia area doesn’t appear to be in area of main ... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17565
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THIS WEEK’S WEATHER

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Monday Forecast

A slowly moving upper trough with areas of vorticity rotating into our area will provide warm/hot, humid conditions and the ongoing possibility of thunderstorms today.

The upper air scenario, as depicted by a satellite water vapor image, shows the trough —

Water Vapor image with superimp ... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/this-weeks-weather-105/

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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Thunderstorm Update

Update Sun 7/02 11:05 PM — A quick late update. Tonight’s NAM-NEST and HRRR have some thunderstorms moving through Philadelphia about 1-2 AM. This is a change from earlier models.

Additionally, storms expected Monday a... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17513
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Thunderstorm Update

Updated Sun 07/02 @ 7:42 PM — The TV meteorologists are doing a fine job this evening covering the severe weather outbreak in far western suburbs. Here’s a recent radar with the few severe storms that have developed—

... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17513
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Live Blog 07-02-23

Sunday Thunderstorm Outlook

Updated Sun 07/02 @ 9:26 AM — As forecast last night, the heavy showers and thunderstorms last night stayed far northwest of the city, with most areas in the Delaware Valley getting 0-0.02″ of... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17513
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Sunday Thunderstorm Outlook

Updated Sun 07/02 @ 9:26 AM — As forecast last night, the heavy showers and thunderstorms last night stayed far northwest of the city, with most areas in the Delaware Valley getting 0-0.02″ of sprinkles.

Last ni... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17513
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Updated Sat 7/01 10:40 PM — With the backdrop of having had a cluster of storms move through Cape May County this morning, unpredicted by any model, I’m going to attempt to forecast the showers and storms expected on Sunday.

A warm front wi... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17513
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Updated Fri 6/30 @9:41 PM — I’ve revised the Sunday forecast below.

A stationary boundary running generally west-east to our south will move north as a warm front Saturday night into Sunday morning. The exact timing varies from model to mod... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17513
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

A stationary boundary running generally west-east to our south will move north as a warm front Saturday night into Sunday morning. The exact timing varies from model to model, but somewhere between daybreak and noon on Sunday is the general tren... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17513
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Sunday Forecast Update

Updated Sun 06/25 @ 9:03 AM — The HRDPS and latest RAP model have thunderstorms forming dynamically about noontime today. Most of the other models are forecasting storms developing around 2-6 PM.

So which forecast, i... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17395
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Sunday Forecast Update

Updated Sun 06/25 @ 9:03 AM — The HRDPS and latest RAP model have thunderstorms forming dynamically about noontime today. Most of the other models are forecasting storms developing around 2-6 PM.

So which forecast, if ... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17395
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Sunday Forecast Update

Updated Sat 06/24 @ 10:53 PM — We had the majority of the rain late morning and early afternoon. The forecast for a 3-5 PM peak in thunderstorm activity didn’t occur around Philadelphia, despite almost every model hav... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17395
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Saturday Forecast Update

Updated Sat 06/24 @ 10:55 AM — It’s pretty clear, based on current radar and this morning’s models, that showers and thundershowers are forming now (late morning) and more numerous showers and storms are expected ... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17395
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Saturday Forecast Update

Update Sat 06/24 @ 8:40 AM —The main area of rain from last night has departed to our northeast. Another area of enhanced moisture is in West Virginia and will rotate into our area this afternoon. Combined with the cy... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17395
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

The closed upper low pressure system will move closer to us on Saturday through Sunday. As you can see from the water vapor image below, the ‘action’ with an upper low is often a certain radius away from its center; as it moves eastward over... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17395
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx

Sunday Forecast Update

Update Sun 06/18 @ 9:42 AM — Last night’s models have sunny skies for today, so I’m going to drop the cloud forecast for the 3-6 PM time frame.

There is an upper air disturbance just northwest of Pennsylvania th... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17320
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