THIS WEEK’S WEATHER
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A persistent pattern of an upper low in Canada and a high pressure dome in the Southwest US will continue this week with some flattening of the upper trough in the center of the country. Disturbances continue to flow over and around the heat dome and around the upper low.
Here's what the upper levels look like to ... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/this-weeks-weather-107/
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx
Friday Forecast Update
Updated Fri 06/30 @ 7:36 AM — Some smoke is still expected to be impactful today, with improving conditions Saturday.
Here’s the latest HRRR smoke forecast for 2 PM Friday—
(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-con... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Peak Smoke Thursday
Updated Thu 06/29 @ 10:17 AM —It will become increasingly smoky here in the Delaware Valley today, although values will be significantly less than a few weeks ago.
Using the latest HRRR smoke forecast—
(https://thewea... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Peak Smoke Thursday
It will become increasingly smoky here in the Delaware Valley today, although values will be significantly less than a few weeks ago.
Using the latest HRRR smoke forecast—
(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-content/uplo... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx
Thursday-Friday Forecast & Weekend Outlook
Updated Wed 06/28 @ 9:32 PM — A nice day on Thursday. Plenty of sunshine and high temperatures in the low to mid 80s. Some increased smoke to contend with tomorrow.
Smoke level near ground tomorrow ... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Wednesday Forecast Update
Updated Wed 06/28 @ 9:40 AM — Each model has varying degrees of cloudiness and sunshine today. A mix with more sunshine after 2 PM according to the latest NBM, but I would say today’s cloud cover forecast is a lowe... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx
Wednesday Forecast
Updated Tue 06/27 @ 8:05 PM — Wednesday looks better than the past two days. Sunshine in the morning, considerable low clouds at times in the afternoon. A few very widely scattered sprinkles move through during the afternoo... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Tuesday Forecast Update
Updated Tue 06/27 @ 5:26 PM — The earlier arrival of the storms as predicted by the high res models was closer to reality. Additional activity is may move in and intensify from now until 7 PM here in Philadelphia.
(h... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx
Tuesday Quick Forecast Update
Updated Tue 06/27 @ 11:39 AM — A quick update based on this morning’s high resolution models. Most models this morning have showers moving in as early as 3 PM -4 PM (3 PM western suburbs) with peak activity 5-7... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Tuesday Forecast
Updated Tue 06/27 @ 9:53 AM — Latest HRRR model forecasts showers and thunderstorms moving in as early as 4 PM today. Peak thunderstorm activity expected between 6 and 9 PM.
(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-content/uploa... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Updated Mon 06/26 @ 9:31 PM — The main group of storms is poised to move into the immediate Philadelphia area with the next hour or so. Some of these storms are expected to be strong, possibly severe. Not much of this activity is expected to c... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Updated Mon 06/26 @ 5:16 PM — Latest NAM-NEST just available shows the heaviest rain and storms tonight in western and northwestern suburbs—
(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/NEST_06-26-23_1715_25.jpg)This afternoo... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Problematic Forecast
Updated Mon 06/26 @ 4:15 PM — I’m looking at the latest HRRR and the live water vapor image. I have this terrible feeling that this afternoon’s forecast has been all wrong.
Most of the activity for the afternoon hav... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts — THIS WEEK’S WEATHER #weather #paweather #wx #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx
Monday Storm Update
Updated Mon 06/26 @ 12:45 PM — After reviewing this morning’s high resolution models, here’s what I see happening today—
- The models are not capturing this event all that perfectly. Many models have been showing s... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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I’m publishing this blog this morning in sections, as I write it. Come back in a few minutes for additions. For reasons unclear, I’m unable to obtain the Canadian HRDPS data and some NOAA data is also having issues this morning.
Heavy Thund... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Check back Monday morning for my take on the thunderstorms being predicted for late afternoon and evening Monday.... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17431
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Rainfall Totals
Update Sat 06/24 @ 8:15 AM —
(https://theweatherguy.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/MRMS_06-24-23_0756_51.jpg)MRMS rain gauge – radar rainfall totals through 7 AM Saturday. (Click on image for a larger view.)
Rain ... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17341
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Rain Update
Update Fri 06/23 @ 4:29 PM — Many of us are finally seeing some moderate to heavy rain that’s been over-promised over the past few days.
At 1:30 PM, things were beginning to develop well to our south—
(https://theweathergu... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17341
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Friday’s Updated Forecast
Last night’s model’s promise of rain and storms this morning have materialized, but not in the location that had been forecast. The immediate Philadelphia area and Delaware Valley have missed this round of shower... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17341
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Friday Forecast
Update Thu 06/22 @ 7:33 PM — Since Tuesday, I’ve been saying the model forecasts haven’t been doing too good a job. After having posted several “total rain accumulation” forecast maps over past days, one should be won... https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=17341
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