Updated for final wave.

#discord #pomelo rollout is complete for existing users after a 19 day rollout. It's apparent that Discord's lack of (or incompetence at) communication has caused users anxiety and stress. That isn't something an ethical software company would try do, and I wouldn't be proud as a Discord employee.

I was right about logarithmic for nitro boost users, but way off for plebes. Anyway, it's been a wild ride. Thanks for sticking with it. End of thread.

Updated for wave 38.

A 2-month wave for plebes through 2023.05. It looks like 2023.06 will be saved for a final wave.

I made the graph prettier for a final update and put in my failed logarithmic prediction for plebes by comparison.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 37.

An odd 1-month wave for plebes through 2023.02.

I'm going to assume it's a free for all tomorrow, but we'll see. Could be multiple waves through 2023.06. After 2023.06 I'll do a final post to this thread.

I removed the failed logarithmic and power curves for plebes, and added the end result which follows a polynomial curve.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 36.

A 3-month wave for plebes through 2023.01.

This could end 18 days after rollout began, but probably the floodgates open after 19 days.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 35.

Another 2-month wave for plebes through 2022.10.

Plebe rollout is looking polynomial.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 34.

Another slow 2 month wave for plebes along the linear path.

It doesn't entirely work out for it to end 19 days after rollout began so there may be a wave that's longer to get to 2023.06 sooner.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 33.

Another slow 2 month wave for plebes.

That tracks with a slow rollout the rest of the week for some odd reason. It probably made sense in some developer's head to do a linear rollout, but it looks like it's a punishment to new plebes and bugged nitro users.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 32.

Discord's punishment of new plebes (and bugged nitro users) continues with another 2 month wave through 2022.04.

I don't think they mean to punish those users, but cleanly ending the rollout on the last day of the week will have that effect. But also has the adverse effect of demoralizing Discord users. We'll see if that's the case in the next few waves.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 31.

Another 2-month wave for plebes through 2022.02. Discord continuing to punish newer users.

Updated linear forecast looks like waves through 19 days after rollout. Power forecast has a chance still to end 18 days after rollout.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 30.

A double-secret fourth, 2-month wave for plebes through 2021.12.

I'm still predicting a slightly longer, but drawn out for the rest of the week.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 29.

Another 2 month wave for plebes.

The return of the linear prediction to the chart. 😭

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 28.

A small 2-month wave for plebes through 2021.08. 🤣

Discord really wants to draw this out until the end of the week.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 27.

A 3-month wave for plebes through 2021.06.

I think my current prediction line is a bit optimistic. I assume Discord wants to slow wave linearly through 2023.06.23.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 26.

Another slow 3-month wave for plebes through 2021.03. Probably the final nail in the coffin for a logarithmic rollout for plebes unlike nitro users.

Power curve seems more likely with the weekend. I assumed Monday rollout, but that is a holiday in the U.S. so could be Tuesday PDT.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 24.

Another slow 2-month wave for plebes. Nowhere close to logarithmic for plebes.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 23.

Only a 2-month wave for plebes through 2020.10.

Maybe Discord wants to prolong this debacle until next week? We'll see if the next wave carries into mid-2021 or not.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 22.

Still in the middle of 2020, a 3 month wave for plebes.

I'm still hopeful that Discord wants to finish this out with 4 waves so making a prediction of 2 small waves and 2 larger waves in the next day. We'll see if I'm right or Discord trolls me. The logarithmic curve still predicts a shorter rollout.

#discord #pomelo

Update for wave 21.

A 2 month wave for plebes through 2020.05 indicating a slower rollout most-likely due to CW... COVID-19 related new users. Thanks to @dewtroid for postulating that initially.

Edit 2: NOPE. Unconfirmed. Tricksy discord user.
Edit 1: Found a June 2020 plebe, so got to update the graph.

I'm predicting a 4 wave rollout today with more waves / month at the latter part of 2020 registered plebes.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 20.

3 month wave for plebes through 2020.03. Hell year has officially begun.

#discord #pomelo

Updated for wave 19.

A double secret 4th wave for plebes through 2019.12!

Definitely a curve towards ending on 2023.06.16.

#discord #pomelo