8/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #SciencePolicyInterface

5/

"Coupled human and natural systems are experiencing unprecedented rapid changes and progressively tighter couplings at multiple scales"

They "challenge traditional #planning and #management assumptions and strategies for #NaturalResources and the #environment. By and large, most #policies in place today will not lead to #sustainable outcomes" [2]

"success or failure of many policies and management practices is based on their ability" to address complexity

#PreciselyIncorrect #uncertainty

8/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #SciencePolicyInterface

5/

"Coupled human and natural systems are experiencing unprecedented rapid changes and progressively tighter couplings at multiple scales"

They "challenge traditional #planning and #management assumptions and strategies for #NaturalResources and the #environment. By and large, most #policies in place today will not lead to #sustainable outcomes" [2]

"success or failure of many policies and management practices is based on their ability" to address complexity

#PreciselyIncorrect #uncertainty

7/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #SciencePolicyInterface

7/

#References

[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2

[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004

(Available free access versions:

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351

https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )

#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #RobustModelling

4/

On #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems (CHANS), recalling the classical definition by Liu et al. (2007) [2][3]

"Coupled human and natural systems are experiencing unprecedented rapid changes and progressively tighter couplings at multiple scales" [2]

They "challenge traditional #planning and #management assumptions and strategies for #NaturalResources and the #environment. By and large, most #policies in place today will not lead to #sustainable outcomes" [2]

#PreciselyIncorrect #uncertainty

4/

On #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems (CHANS), recalling the classical definition by Liu et al. (2007) [2][3]

"Coupled human and natural systems are experiencing unprecedented rapid changes and progressively tighter couplings at multiple scales" [2]

They "challenge traditional #planning and #management assumptions and strategies for
#NaturalResources and the #environment. By and large, most #policies in place today will not lead to #sustainable outcomes" [2]

#PreciselyIncorrect #uncertainty

1/

On the myth of an unreasonably precise #ReturnPeriod in #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems (CHANS) under the #ClimateChange and highly uncertain #TippingPoints "when earth systems suddenly tip into alternate semisteady states" [1]

"common #CognitiveBiases complicate the understanding of #probability [...] For instance, when lacking or considering historical data, people tend to base their estimations of probability on what they have recently experienced" [1]

#PreciselyIncorrect #uncertainty