Leonardo Saravia · @larysar
221 followers · 222 posts · Server ecoevo.social
An illusion of #predictability in scientific results: Even experts confuse #inferential uncertainty and outcome #variability
#predictability #inferential #variability
chazbe79 · @chazbe79
1 followers · 26 posts · Server social.vivaldi.netNever #underestimate the #predictability of #stupidity
#underestimate #predictability #stupidity
Oliver Braunschweig · @oliver_braunschweig
0 followers · 21 posts · Server econtwitter.net🙅♀️ Averting #ExportRestrictions becomes crucial given current #geoeconomics and #RaceForGreenIndustries. They are often not WTO-conform & could lead to a vicious cycle of fear & retaliation.
Do: Increase #transparency & #predictability between and #diversity of trade partners.
#exportrestrictions #geoeconomics #raceforgreenindustries #transparency #predictability #diversity
Christian Franzke · @chlef
291 followers · 328 posts · Server fediscience.orgOut now, our special issue on #extreme #weather and #predictability in Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences:
https://link.springer.com/journal/13143/volumes-and-issues/59-1
#climatecrisis #globalwarming #Climate #predictability #weather #extreme
Bruno Baketarić · @bbak
152 followers · 317 posts · Server mastodon.social"Additional #estimation accuracy will increase the team’s #predictability." (Leffingwell, 2009)
Well, it's perhaps the other way 'round:
A team that has a stable flow of value, hence is predictable, naturally also has a high estimation accuracy.
Yet, it would be a waste of time to have such a team estimate.
Besides that: I'd rather invest money into improvement of said flow of value instead of the ability to accurately estimate - which is essentially waste in Lean terms.
#estimation #predictability #agile
ReleaseTEAM, Inc · @releaseteam
3 followers · 60 posts · Server mstdn.social
One of the most important outcomes of successful value stream management is predictability.
It can help organizations weather unexpected disruptions and uncertainty. First things first: agree on the definition of value stream management and measure how things are getting done today: https://bit.ly/3VYW3M6
#valuestreammanagement #predictability
pablolarah · @pablolarah
122 followers · 917 posts · Server mastodon.social
🔴5 delivery metrics you should track (apart from velocity)
by Bart Krawczyk at @LogRocket
#metrics #webdev #Cycletime #Predictability #Technicaldebt #Timeinstatus #Timetomarket
https://blog.logrocket.com/product-management/5-delivery-metrics-you-should-track/
#metrics #webdev #cycletime #predictability #technicaldebt #timeinstatus #timeToMarket
Jim Donegan ✅ · @jimdonegan
1253 followers · 2803 posts · Server mastodon.scot#SabineHossenfelder - How #Chaos Control Is Changing The World
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1-cwamhwag&ab_channel=SabineHossenfelder
#Science #Physics #Math #Maths #Mathematics #ChaosTheory #ChaosControl #Pertutbation #Perturbations #PerturbationTheory #Statistics #Predictability #Probability #MachineLearning #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Astronomy #Astrophysics #OrbitalMechanics #SolarSystem #Lorenz #EdwardLorenz #Weather #WeatherPrediction #WeatherForecasting #LorenzModel #AdaptiveSystems
#adaptivesystems #lorenzmodel #weatherforecasting #weatherprediction #weather #edwardlorenz #lorenz #solarsystem #orbitalmechanics #astrophysics #astronomy #artificialintelligence #ai #machinelearning #probability #predictability #statistics #perturbationtheory #perturbations #pertutbation #chaoscontrol #chaostheory #mathematics #maths #math #physics #science #chaos #sabinehossenfelder
QCon Software Conferences · @qcon
51 followers · 38 posts · Server techhub.social
Do you find yourself asking how do we ensure teams are aligned, working together, and delivering value to the organization all while continuing to find optimization opportunities over time? How do we build intentional #resilience, #predictability & #agility?
👉🏼 How to rethink optimization & visibility through the lens of the business now at #QConPlus: https://bit.ly/3UqC1JB
Collette Tauscher, Director of Supply Chain Strategy at Columbia1938.
#resilience #predictability #agility #qconplus #fastflow #continuouslearning #softwareconference
· @artahy
26 followers · 3 posts · Server econtwitter.netOur new paper on the #predictability of high growth enterprises (#HGEs) in real time is out in #Entrepreneurship #Theory & #Practice (#ETP).
We use #machinelearning #methods to predict #HGEs three years ahead, and incorporate a #budget #constraint to the #prediction #problem.
It is #openaccess here:
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/10422587221128268
Thanks to my co-authors Petri Rouvinen(VTT), Joosua Virtanen (Hanken), and Mika Pajarinen (ETLA) for making this happen.
#predictability #HGEs #entrepreneurship #theory #practice #ETP #machinelearning #methods #budget #constraint #prediction #problem #openaccess #designscience #venturecapital
Rodrigo Crespo · @RodrigoCrespoLW
2 followers · 677 posts · Server mstdn.social
RT @MathematicsMDPI
#mdpiMathematics #particularinterest Article by Rodrigo Crespo-Miguel and Francisco J. Cao-García " #Predictability of Population Fluctuations"
👉https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/17/3176
SI is still open for submissions!
👉 https://www.mdpi.com/si/mathematics/math_model_analysis_ecology
@MDPIOpenAccess
#predictability #particularinterest #mdpimathematics
Dick Smiths Fair Go Supporters · @dsfgs
178 followers · 12401 posts · Server activism.openworlds.info2/2… in terms of how preferences might flow (the #corporateState are obsessive when it comes to #predictability and elevate #talkingHeads like #AntonyGreen whose job it is to relay an algorithmic #forecast, literally like a weather forecast, #election outcomes).
They would rather your vote end up in the bin, "exhausted" — that's the #newSpeak language they use, for a wasted vote, today.
The #corporateState are an enemy to dialogue, real #transparency and genuine #democracy.
#orwellian #1984
#corporateState #predictability #talkingheads #AntonyGreen #forecast #election #newspeak #transparency #democracy #orwellian