Gianluca Baio 🛵 · @gianlubaio
202 followers · 364 posts · Server mas.to
Check this out --- that's our annual Poster Competition in #statistics and #probability for PhD students
#london #statsscience #ucl #probability #statistics
Barry Schwartz 🫖 · @chemoelectric
557 followers · 11480 posts · Server masto.ai
Derivation of the correlation coefficient for a two channel Bell-test experiment: https://github.com/chemoelectric/eprb_signal_correlations
The derivation is done with #probability theory, employing no #quantum #physics whatsoever. It is shown that quantum theorists attempting to analyze the problem using probability theory have computed expectations incorrectly, thus arriving at the wrong function.
A #simulation in #Ada demonstrates that the solution here is correct.
Mirrors:
https://eprb-signal-correlations.sf.net
https://bitbucket.org/chemoelectric/eprb_signal_correlations/
#ada #probability #quantum #physics #simulation
Gregory B Sadler · @GregSadler
741 followers · 1450 posts · Server metalhead.clubPlot (muthos) is the most important element of tragedy, according to Aristotle. One key aspect of plot is unity. Here's a core concept video discussing Aristotle's views on that in the Poetics!
https://youtu.be/frF4lt1jVmc
#Video #Aristotle #Plot #Unity #Story #Necessity #Probability
#probability #necessity #story #unity #plot #aristotle #video
Barry Schwartz 🫖 · @chemoelectric
556 followers · 11467 posts · Server masto.aiI have a proof of the correlation coefficient for a two channel Bell-test experiment here, along with an #Ada simulation of such an experiment:
https://github.com/chemoelectric/eprb_signal_correlations
#Quantum #physics #QuantumComputing #Simulation #Signal #Processing #Electrical #Engineering #Probability
#ada #quantum #physics #quantumcomputing #simulation #signal #processing #electrical #engineering #probability
Ralph Hogaboom · @biptoot
126 followers · 643 posts · Server mas.towhy is there no #statstadon for #statistics and #probability #math and #mathematics nerds? Or #risk #analysts, #actuaries , etc
#actuaries #analysts #risk #mathematics #math #probability #statistics #statstadon
Jim Donegan ✅ · @jimdonegan
1563 followers · 4708 posts · Server mastodon.scot#WillemDrees - Is the #World Self-Organizing?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4q6y18SmMuc&ab_channel=CloserToTruth
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #Science #Physics #Emergence #Entropy #Order #Organisation #Reductionism #Religion #Chance #Probability #Teleology #Psychology #Prayer #Morality #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
#RobertKuhn #CloserToTruth #morality #prayer #psychology #teleology #probability #chance #religion #reductionism #organisation #order #entropy #emergence #physics #science #philosophyofscience #philosophy #world #willemdrees
Achim Domma · @achim
273 followers · 733 posts · Server social.saarlandI even struggled to formulate the problem, but in case somebody wants a math "riddle": https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/4759043/how-to-calculated-the-expected-value-of-the-overlap-between-groups-of-numbers Any hint would be highly appreciated. #math #combinatorics #probability
#math #combinatorics #probability
Empiricism · @empiricism
425 followers · 2210 posts · Server sustainability.masto.host#ClimateChange #probability #SystemThinking
A false sense of security (hubris) is generally causing people to neglect the actions that can prevent an ecological #polycrisis
1. To believe that humanity is going to mitigate the #ClimateCrisis is wish-based delusional thinking (Hope feels good!)
Or
2. The understanding that humanity has a low probability (chance) of mitigating the #ClimateCrisis is evidence-based rationale thinking (But, doesn't feel good)
Best wishers! #psychology
#climatechange #probability #systemthinking #polycrisis #climatecrisis #psychology
Nick Byrd · @ByrdNick
921 followers · 559 posts · Server nerdculture.de
Were base rate fallacies more or less likely when people were reading in a foreign language?
Not among a couple hundred European Portuguese bilinguals, regardless of whether the emotional salience of the lure was exaggerated.
Master’s thesis: https://hdl.handle.net/1822/86018
#JDM #logic #probability #decisionScience #language #ESL #replication
#jdm #logic #probability #decisionscience #language #esl #replication
Ben Waber · @bwaber
684 followers · 2551 posts · Server hci.socialNext was an incredible talk by Branden Fitelson on Bayesianism, explanation, and rationality at the @sfiscience. This is a deep dive into issues with different models of belief formation and updating, with implications across a huge range of fields. Highly recommend https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2y1BiAQyOoU (3/12) #probability
Jim Donegan ✅ · @jimdonegan
1560 followers · 4702 posts · Server mastodon.scot#RaphaelBousso - #Physics of the #Observer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dIEoPZijgAU&ab_channel=CloserToTruth
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #QM #QuantumMechanics #QuantumPhysics #WaveFunction #Decoherence #Collapse #WaveFunctionCollapse #Causality #Prediction #Probability #Determinism #Event #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
#RobertKuhn #CloserToTruth #event #determinism #probability #prediction #causality #wavefunctioncollapse #collapse #Decoherence #wavefunction #quantumphysics #quantummechanics #qm #philosophyofscience #philosophy #observer #physics #raphaelbousso
Daniele de Rigo · @dderigo
175 followers · 201 posts · Server hostux.social4/
For example, a 2023 study [2] on Western United States found that #solar #photovoltaics (PV) "energy production decreases 8.3 % on average during high #smoke days at PV sites as compared to similar conditions without smoke present." [2]
However, #ClimateChange and human factors both contribute. This is because "#ClimateChange is increasing the #probability of ‘fire weather’" [1], but this increased #FireDangerByWeather acts on existing #ignitions, either natural or human-caused.
#solar #photovoltaics #smoke #ClimateChange #probability #firedangerbyweather #ignitions
Daniele de Rigo · @dderigo
175 followers · 201 posts · Server hostux.social4/
For example, a 2023 study [2] on Western United States found that #solar #photovoltaics (PV) "energy production decreases 8.3 % on average during high #smoke days at PV sites as compared to similar conditions without smoke present." [2]
However, #ClimateChange and human factors both contribute to these impacts. This is because "#ClimateChange is increasing the #probability of ‘fire weather’, but this increased #FireDangerByWeather acts on existing ignitions, either natural or human-caused.
#solar #photovoltaics #smoke #ClimateChange #probability #firedangerbyweather
Daniel Lakeland · @dlakelan
224 followers · 1933 posts · Server mastodon.sdf.orgFrom the introduction to my chapter on the difference between probability measuring frequency and probability measuring credence or plausibility.
"But mathematicians talk about the behavior of mathematical objects, idealized and formal systems of pure thought. The average mathematician goes no closer to a field survey of snake behavior than absolutely necessary while parking their car in the parking garage next to the zoology department. " #probability #statistics
Empiricism · @empiricism
369 followers · 1633 posts · Server sustainability.masto.hostPremise: Human caused #CimateChange has a high probability of causing a system wide ecological collapse, therefore cultural collapse, because the average human enjoys doing \ taking part in activities that pollute the air (e.g., vehicles, BBQs, campfires, eating meat, etc)
The fundamental #psychology of feeling good about sitting around a campfire is a stone age brain behaviours
Environmentally maladapted, on average
#AirPollution #money #consumerism #greenwash # #probability #ClimateCrisis
#cimatechange #psychology #airpollution #money #consumerism #greenwash #probability #climatecrisis
Archimage · @SergKoren
215 followers · 6117 posts · Server writing.exchangeWhat If probability involves quantum entanglement? What if, for example, throwing a “fair” die maintains quantum memory of past throws?
#quantum #statistics #probability
Joshua Grochow · @joshuagrochow
549 followers · 652 posts · Server mathstodon.xyzAnyone have good references and/or favorite examples of the use of generating functions (in the sense of combinatorics) in probability or physics? #combinatorics #physics #probability
#probability #physics #combinatorics
Darren Wilkinson · @darrenjw
247 followers · 53 posts · Server mastodon.org.uk#JOB: Associate Professor in #Probability, Durham University, UK - https://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DBT082/2324_mat_02-associate-professor
Patrick Honner · @phonner
1004 followers · 689 posts · Server mathstodon.xyz
Nice write-up from Ole Peters about ergodicity and the "infamous" coin toss. I've been sharing these basic ideas in my math classes for the past few years, and I think it really introduces students to new and important ways of thinking.
https://ergodicityeconomics.com/2023/07/28/the-infamous-coin-toss/
#mathed #probability #economics #statistics #math
Jim Donegan ✅ · @jimdonegan
1553 followers · 4634 posts · Server mastodon.scot
#DavidFinkelstein - Why is the #Quantum so #Mysterious?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WyQl5ROF0Vo&ab_channel=CloserToTruth
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #Science #Physics #QM #QuantumMechanics #QuantumPhysics #Logic #Probability #Interference #Entanglement #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
#RobertKuhn #CloserToTruth #entanglement #interference #probability #logic #quantumphysics #quantummechanics #qm #physics #science #philosophyofscience #philosophy #mysterious #quantum #davidfinkelstein