Check this out --- that's our annual Poster Competition in #statistics and #probability for PhD students
#london #statsscience #ucl #probability #statistics
Derivation of the correlation coefficient for a two channel Bell-test experiment: https://github.com/chemoelectric/eprb_signal_correlations
The derivation is done with #probability theory, employing no #quantum #physics whatsoever. It is shown that quantum theorists attempting to analyze the problem using probability theory have computed expectations incorrectly, thus arriving at the wrong function.
A #simulation in #Ada demonstrates that the solution here is correct.
Mirrors:
https://eprb-signal-correlations.sf.net
https://bitbucket.org/chemoelectric/eprb_signal_correlations/
#ada #probability #quantum #physics #simulation
Plot (muthos) is the most important element of tragedy, according to Aristotle. One key aspect of plot is unity. Here's a core concept video discussing Aristotle's views on that in the Poetics!
https://youtu.be/frF4lt1jVmc
#Video #Aristotle #Plot #Unity #Story #Necessity #Probability
#probability #necessity #story #unity #plot #aristotle #video
I have a proof of the correlation coefficient for a two channel Bell-test experiment here, along with an #Ada simulation of such an experiment:
https://github.com/chemoelectric/eprb_signal_correlations
#Quantum #physics #QuantumComputing #Simulation #Signal #Processing #Electrical #Engineering #Probability
#ada #quantum #physics #quantumcomputing #simulation #signal #processing #electrical #engineering #probability
why is there no #statstadon for #statistics and #probability #math and #mathematics nerds? Or #risk #analysts, #actuaries , etc
#actuaries #analysts #risk #mathematics #math #probability #statistics #statstadon
#WillemDrees - Is the #World Self-Organizing?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4q6y18SmMuc&ab_channel=CloserToTruth
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #Science #Physics #Emergence #Entropy #Order #Organisation #Reductionism #Religion #Chance #Probability #Teleology #Psychology #Prayer #Morality #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
#RobertKuhn #CloserToTruth #morality #prayer #psychology #teleology #probability #chance #religion #reductionism #organisation #order #entropy #emergence #physics #science #philosophyofscience #philosophy #world #willemdrees
I even struggled to formulate the problem, but in case somebody wants a math "riddle": https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/4759043/how-to-calculated-the-expected-value-of-the-overlap-between-groups-of-numbers Any hint would be highly appreciated. #math #combinatorics #probability
#math #combinatorics #probability
#ClimateChange #probability #SystemThinking
A false sense of security (hubris) is generally causing people to neglect the actions that can prevent an ecological #polycrisis
1. To believe that humanity is going to mitigate the #ClimateCrisis is wish-based delusional thinking (Hope feels good!)
Or
2. The understanding that humanity has a low probability (chance) of mitigating the #ClimateCrisis is evidence-based rationale thinking (But, doesn't feel good)
Best wishers! #psychology
#climatechange #probability #systemthinking #polycrisis #climatecrisis #psychology
Were base rate fallacies more or less likely when people were reading in a foreign language?
Not among a couple hundred European Portuguese bilinguals, regardless of whether the emotional salience of the lure was exaggerated.
Master’s thesis: https://hdl.handle.net/1822/86018
#JDM #logic #probability #decisionScience #language #ESL #replication
#jdm #logic #probability #decisionscience #language #esl #replication
Next was an incredible talk by Branden Fitelson on Bayesianism, explanation, and rationality at the @sfiscience. This is a deep dive into issues with different models of belief formation and updating, with implications across a huge range of fields. Highly recommend https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2y1BiAQyOoU (3/12) #probability
#RaphaelBousso - #Physics of the #Observer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dIEoPZijgAU&ab_channel=CloserToTruth
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #QM #QuantumMechanics #QuantumPhysics #WaveFunction #Decoherence #Collapse #WaveFunctionCollapse #Causality #Prediction #Probability #Determinism #Event #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
#RobertKuhn #CloserToTruth #event #determinism #probability #prediction #causality #wavefunctioncollapse #collapse #Decoherence #wavefunction #quantumphysics #quantummechanics #qm #philosophyofscience #philosophy #observer #physics #raphaelbousso
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For example, a 2023 study [2] on Western United States found that #solar #photovoltaics (PV) "energy production decreases 8.3 % on average during high #smoke days at PV sites as compared to similar conditions without smoke present." [2]
However, #ClimateChange and human factors both contribute. This is because "#ClimateChange is increasing the #probability of ‘fire weather’" [1], but this increased #FireDangerByWeather acts on existing #ignitions, either natural or human-caused.
#solar #photovoltaics #smoke #ClimateChange #probability #firedangerbyweather #ignitions
4/
For example, a 2023 study [2] on Western United States found that #solar #photovoltaics (PV) "energy production decreases 8.3 % on average during high #smoke days at PV sites as compared to similar conditions without smoke present." [2]
However, #ClimateChange and human factors both contribute to these impacts. This is because "#ClimateChange is increasing the #probability of ‘fire weather’, but this increased #FireDangerByWeather acts on existing ignitions, either natural or human-caused.
#solar #photovoltaics #smoke #ClimateChange #probability #firedangerbyweather
From the introduction to my chapter on the difference between probability measuring frequency and probability measuring credence or plausibility.
"But mathematicians talk about the behavior of mathematical objects, idealized and formal systems of pure thought. The average mathematician goes no closer to a field survey of snake behavior than absolutely necessary while parking their car in the parking garage next to the zoology department. " #probability #statistics
Premise: Human caused #CimateChange has a high probability of causing a system wide ecological collapse, therefore cultural collapse, because the average human enjoys doing \ taking part in activities that pollute the air (e.g., vehicles, BBQs, campfires, eating meat, etc)
The fundamental #psychology of feeling good about sitting around a campfire is a stone age brain behaviours
Environmentally maladapted, on average
#AirPollution #money #consumerism #greenwash # #probability #ClimateCrisis
#cimatechange #psychology #airpollution #money #consumerism #greenwash #probability #climatecrisis
What If probability involves quantum entanglement? What if, for example, throwing a “fair” die maintains quantum memory of past throws?
#quantum #statistics #probability
Anyone have good references and/or favorite examples of the use of generating functions (in the sense of combinatorics) in probability or physics? #combinatorics #physics #probability
#probability #physics #combinatorics
#JOB: Associate Professor in #Probability, Durham University, UK - https://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DBT082/2324_mat_02-associate-professor
Nice write-up from Ole Peters about ergodicity and the "infamous" coin toss. I've been sharing these basic ideas in my math classes for the past few years, and I think it really introduces students to new and important ways of thinking.
https://ergodicityeconomics.com/2023/07/28/the-infamous-coin-toss/
#mathed #probability #economics #statistics #math
#DavidFinkelstein - Why is the #Quantum so #Mysterious?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WyQl5ROF0Vo&ab_channel=CloserToTruth
#Philosophy #PhilosophyOfScience #Science #Physics #QM #QuantumMechanics #QuantumPhysics #Logic #Probability #Interference #Entanglement #CloserToTruth #RobertKuhn
#RobertKuhn #CloserToTruth #entanglement #interference #probability #logic #quantumphysics #quantummechanics #qm #physics #science #philosophyofscience #philosophy #mysterious #quantum #davidfinkelstein