#Brexit is and has always been a #ProtestVote...

Thats why public support for it is collapsing.

The demographic that swung the vote -- protest voters -- were never ideologically married to the idea of Brexit.

But of course, a lot of noise was out there over the past years that have tried to convince folks of another narrative...

But eventually the evidence and data will break through the distracting narratives...

Freedom of movement #FOM

Allegedly the stumbling block and something that #KeirStarmer is also still quite unsure of. It is a freedom that goes both ways.

Now, in 2018, even in the strongest #Leave supporting areas, support for Freedom of Movement was well above 70%, on average.

This suggests that FoM was not as much of a controversial issue across the Leave/Remain spectrum.

And that is not surprising, because many #Leave voters were #ProtestVote's.

Large swings in support for #RejoinEU? This is nothing new: support for #Brexit collapsed quickly after the #EUReferendum.

Biggest drops in Leave support are driven by places where the #austerity induced #ProtestVote was highest..
My paper from 2018: http://tinyurl.com/45bz4tz8

Fact 5: Support for #Brexit collapsed nearly immediately after the EU referendum.

The protest vote part behind #Brexit, which is the vote that really matters, though, swung well behind collapsed in a very predictable fashion almost immediately after the #EUReferendum

I wrote a paper about this: Who is NOT voting for #Brexit anymore...

https://tinyurl.com/45bz4tz8

The biggest declines in #Brexit support were coming from the places where the #ProtestVote was highest... not surprisingly.

Now there is this interesting group of #Leave voters who disproportionately express #Regret #Bregret among those who did not expect #Leave to win (i.e. those that thought chances of Leave victory were low).

My interpretation is that these are basically people who thought "their vote doesnt matter" but "wanted to send a message".

Some would call this a good definition of a #protestvote.

If this group had not voted or not "protested", #Remain would have won.

Its the "ridiculous" #Brexit.