via #SolarHam:

Aug 7, 2023
"Active sunspot region 3386 produced a strong X1.5 solar flare at 20:46 UTC (Aug 7). A fast moving coronal mass ejection (CME) became visible soon after and because the source region is now located behind the west limb, it should be directed away from our planet. Proton levels streaming past Earth reached the minor (S1) radiation storm threshold as a result."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u2AtTE3nurY

#SolarFlares #solarcycle25

Yikes! I hope AR 3386 calms down before it becomes Earth-facing again (in about 2 weeks).

via #SolarHam:

Another X-Flare!
August 7, 2023 @ 20:50 UTC

"Now located behind the west limb, AR 3386 just unleashed another X-Flare. The latest event was an X1.5 at 20:46 UTC (Aug 7). Due to the location behind the limb, it is possible that it could have been somewhat stronger than detected. Any associated CME will be directed away from Earth. More to follow whenever necessary."

https://www.solarham.net/

#SolarFlares #SolarFlare #solarcycle25 #XClassFlare

via #SolarHam:

#CME Update:

August 6, 2023 @ 12:10 UTC

"The X1.6 solar flare around AR 3386 was responsible for the second of two halo CMEs on Saturday. The first CME was the result of a long duration M-Flare/Filament eruption earlier in the day. Both appear to have an Earth directed component with glancing blows possible beginning August 8th. The combination could generate minor (G1) to moderate (G2) storming at higher latitudes. Aurora sky watchers should be alert beginning Tuesday.

"UPDATE: The latest NOAA/SWPC update is reporting that the second CME (X1.6 Flare) will be a miss. Even with that forecast, I still believe that the eastern flank could still graze past Earth."

https://www.solarham.net/

#SolarFlares #solarcycle25 #SolarFlare

#SolarHam:

"X-Flare!
August 5, 2023 @ 22:20 UTC
A strong solar flare reaching the X1.6 level is currently in progress around AR 3386 nearing the west limb. More to follow."

https://www.solarham.net/

What happens when that region becomes Earth-facing (in a couple of weeks -- the Sun rotates approximately every 27-30 Earth days)?

Latest #SpaceWeather News

via #SolarHam

Major Farsided Event + Fainter Earth directed #CME

July 24, 2023 @ 19:30 UTC

"A large halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed leaving the Sun during the past few hours and it looks to be related to a major farsided solar event. It was so powerful that despite taking place on the other side of the Sun, energetic #proton levels streaming past Earth are currently on the rise. Because this was farsided, the CME itself is directed away from our planet.

"In other news, a faint CME observed on Sunday following a filament eruption is predicted to reach Earth by July 27th. A minor (G1) geomagnetic storm watch was officially added for that day."

https://www.solarham.net/

#solarcycle25 #SolarFlares #Solar

Latest #SolarHam news:
Flaring Continues

May 19, 2023 @ 03:30 UTC

"At least nine M-Flares during the past 24 hours, all of which were centered around newly assigned AR 3311. As of this update, the largest event was an M5.3 flare at 00:48 UTC (May 19). So far, none of the flares appear to have generated a coronal mass ejection (CME). An increased chance for an isolated X-Flare is now present."

#SolarFlares #SolarCycle25 #SolarFlare #CarringtonEffect #LightsOut #SpaceWeather #NoNukes #NoNewNukes #RethinkNotRestart

https://www.solarham.net/

via #SolarHam

Space Weather Update
March 23, 2023 @ 01:05 UTC

"[Linked] Below is a look at the visible solar disk as we head into Thursday. Solar activity during the past 24 hours remained at low levels. The chances for a major solar flare during the next day will be slim.

"Minor (G1) to Moderate (G2) storming will be possible during the next 24-72 hours due to the combination of an anticipated coronal hole stream along with at least one coronal mass ejection (CME) passing close to Earth. Aurora sky watchers at higher latitudes should be alert. Should storm conditions reach moderate (G2) levels, aurora could be visible as far south as the norther tier United States."

https://www.solarham.net/pictures/2023/mar22_2023_ch2.jpg

#SolarHam fundraiser update from Kevin:

"After only 6 days of website fundraising, I exceeded my goal for website support. Even yesterday morning once I hit 100%, donations from individuals continued to be received. The generosity and kind words from my followers is amazing and I am still in a bit of disbelief. Just know that I greatly appreciate it. I am currently working on personally replying to the many E-Mails I received in regards to donations and other website questions, so please be patient and I will try to respond as soon as I can. Further website enhancements including the return of the SolarHam Aurora Gallery is planned so stay tuned!"
#SolarCycle25 #SolarFlares #SolarFlare

https://www.solarham.net/donate.htm

#SolarHam needs our help!

2023 - 2025 (Solar Max) Website Fundraiser
Closes May 31, 2023.

Kevin @ SolarHam: "Running SolarHam is both expensive and time consuming. Although space weather is a passion of mine and I love reporting about the Sun, it is still a full time job and commitment. To put it bluntly, without your support, the SolarHam site will likely not continue in the future.

How To Donate:

Donations can be made securely via PayPal, even if you do not have a PayPal account. If you prefer not to use PayPal, please E-Mail for other options (kevin@solarcycle24.com).

Any donation big or small is greatly appreciated and goes directly towards the daily operation of the SolarHam website."

#SolarFlares #Solar #SolarCycle25 #CarringtonEffect #spaceweather #spacewx #solarstorm

https://www.solarham.net/donate.htm

#SolarHam Updates:

Minor Radiation Storm Continues
March 14, 2023 @ 18:50 UTC

Proton levels remain at the minor (S1) radiation storm threshold a full 36 hours following a major coronal mass ejection (CME) on the farside of the Sun. We can use common sense to understand that had the full halo CME estimated to be traveling at least 3000 km/s been Earth directed, we would be talking about a significant radiation storm and more than likely, a severe geomagnetic storm. Earth dodged a solar storm this time around, however the next several years will see more opportunities for major events as we head towards solar maximum."

#SolarFlares #Solar #SolarCycle25 #CarringtonEffect #spaceweather #spacewx #solarstorm

https://www.solarham.net/

#SolarFlare update from #SolarHam, February 19, 2023:

Current Solar Flare Threat
C-Flare: 99%
M-Flare: 50%
X-Flare: 15%
Proton: 25%

And what is a #ProtonFlare?
NWS: "In solar-terrestrial terms, any flare producing significant fluxes of greater-than-10 MeV protons in the vicinity of the earth"
https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=flare

SolarHam website:
https://www.solarham.net/

El Sol acaba de tener una llamarada solar clase X1.1

"An impulsive X1.1 solar flare was just observed around AR 3217 in the southeast quadrant at 15:48 UTC (Feb 11). The quick rising flare does not appear to be eruptive. AR 3217 is magnetically complex and will remain a threat for noteworthy solar flares as the day goes on" Fuente: SolarHam

Y abajo, la alerta de NOAA:

Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 124
Issue Time: 2023 Feb 11 1611 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2023 Feb 11 1540 UTC
Maximum Time: 2023 Feb 11 1548 UTC
End Time: 2023 Feb 11 1554 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.1
Optical Class: 2b
Location: S08E39
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings

#sol #sun #space #spaceweather #climaespacial #noaa #solarham #radio #blackout #solarflare #astronomy #astronomía

El Sol acaba de tener una llamarada solar clase X1.1

"An impulsive X1.1 solar flare was just observed around AR 3217 in the southeast quadrant at 15:48 UTC (Feb 11). The quick rising flare does not appear to be eruptive. AR 3217 is magnetically complex and will remain a threat for noteworthy solar flares as the day goes on" Fuente: SolarHam

Y abajo, la alerta de NOAA:

Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 296
Issue Time: 2023 Feb 11 1550 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2023 Feb 11 1547 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity.

#sol #sun #space #spaceweather #climaespacial #noaa #solarham #radio #blackout #solarflare #astronomy #astronomía

Too bad #SolarHam isn't on Mastadon. I bookmarked their website years ago. Looks like we had a biggie -- an X1.9 #SolarFlare! I hope the nuclear plants have plenty of diesel fuel. And I wouldn't get too dependent on GPS -- make sure you have maps printed out!