New Survation poll.

Scottish Labour gaining even more on SNP

https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1676257241530347526

#labour #scottishlabour #snp #survation

If anything the numbers I derived from #survation are at the lower end of the range implied by #yougov . And the #survation data covers #income and #votingintention whereas #yougov just covers age.

So at the cost once more of a risk of #confirmatorybias I have to conclude that the report does bear out my initial conclusions reached at the time of the #coronation weekend. These were that the #VoterSuppression effect was substantial and non-neutral between parties and income groups.

@TJ

It seems not. In this respect it differs from the #survation work that I cited before the election.

So at least1 in 50 voters rather than the 1 in 400 bandied about. "Nonsense on stilts"? I beg to differ. And more than likely rather more than 1 in 50 if one
were to take into account of the answers to the prompt question.

Which takes me back to the projections I made earlier - actually ahead of the results - based on the work by another reputable polling company - #survation. These suggested #VoterSuppression levels similar to those implied by #yougov

The most likely culprit seems to have been #VoterSuppression through the introduction of #photoID requirements. The survey by #Survation shortly before polling day found that #Labour voters and people with lower incomes were significantly less likely to possess the relevant #id than voters as a whole. |On the basis I suggested that the could be an effect sufficient to reduce the #labour lead over the #Conservatives by 3%. On one measure this appears to have hapened.