Rick Osborne · @rick
243 followers · 1694 posts · Server ricko.social
Prentiss Riddle 🎛 · @pzriddle
155 followers · 478 posts · Server mstdn.io

Always worth bearing in mind.
xkcd.com/1827/

#survivorshipbias

Last updated 1 year ago

Prentiss Riddle 🎛 · @pzriddle
155 followers · 478 posts · Server mstdn.io

@kissane

Always worth bearing in mind.
xkcd.com/1827/

#survivorshipbias

Last updated 1 year ago

· @robertology
21 followers · 208 posts · Server phpc.social

@diggles_b I would also encourage people to go for it, but don't assume it's going to end well. Many others have have done so and failed.

#survivorshipbias

Last updated 1 year ago

Mark Gardner ‍:sdf: · @mjgardner
709 followers · 4818 posts · Server social.sdf.org

@eniko @Jdreben Please note that the canonical picture of is an argument for building better planes, not for never taking off from the airfield

#survivorshipbias

Last updated 1 year ago

Empiricism · @empiricism
249 followers · 830 posts · Server sustainability.masto.host

@minogully

"So your observation regarding businesses may suffer from

Do you mean the people managing the business are more interested in protecting the business than the environment? (You'd think that would be self-evident - at least to those that have thought about it and are honest about it)

#survivorshipbias

Last updated 1 year ago

Auscandoc · @auscandoc
941 followers · 8234 posts · Server med-mastodon.com
Vaughn Cooper · @vscooper
463 followers · 150 posts · Server mstdn.science

RT @macroliter@twitter.com

“Armor is useless. Most planes make it back from enemy territory” en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivor

🐦🔗: twitter.com/macroliter/status/

#VaccinesWork #getvaccinated #survivorshipbias

Last updated 2 years ago

ɳeaƌЯeporʈ · @NeadReport
63 followers · 206 posts · Server social.vivaldi.net

An introduction and explanation of (or ) can be found at Wiki Links: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivor
Fascinating stuff. And a great way to re-think how you interpret data.

#survivorshipbias #survivalbias

Last updated 2 years ago

ɳeaƌЯeporʈ · @NeadReport
63 followers · 205 posts · Server social.vivaldi.net

Survivorship Bias:
A drawing and description of a WW2 Allied plane, detailing where Nazi anti-aircraft fire had caused damage. Small red dots show where the plane was hit. It was first used to observe damage on returning planes as a way to add additional armor.
Hungarian-born, Jewish mathematician, Abraham Wald used to show logic error with this analysis.

#survivorshipbias

Last updated 2 years ago

Alvaro La Parra-Perez · @alvarolaparra
205 followers · 139 posts · Server econtwitter.net

Last week, when Saudi Arabia was down 1-0 at halftime, Hervé Renard (Saudi Arabia’s coach) gave an impassioned speech to his players that became viral after they made a comeback and defeated Argentina 2-1. Today, Saudi Arabi was also down 1-0 at halftime and I’m sure Renard gave another impassioned speech. But his team lost the game 2-0 and I suspect it won’t become viral.

#worldcup #survivorshipbias

Last updated 2 years ago

Max Leibman · @maxleibman
28 followers · 151 posts · Server mastodon.social

Stories about winners aren’t blueprints for success, no matter how faithfully they recount “how he did it.”

100 billionaires all doing something in common isn’t a reliable signal if 500 million broke people also do the exact same thing.

#success #failure #survivorshipbias

Last updated 2 years ago

pettter · @pettter
557 followers · 7550 posts · Server mastodon.acc.umu.se

It's very easy to con yourself into thinking you're a genius when the random fluctuations of the market means that your bet on some weird speculative asset pays off to the tune of millions.

What you don't see is the hundreds of other people who made just as well-informed bets as you did, who instead lost part or all of their investment.

They just don't post about it as much.

#survivorshipbias #selectionbias #stonks #cryptocurrency

Last updated 4 years ago

march · @march
140 followers · 2115 posts · Server mstdn.io

„(deutsch etwa: Überlebensirrtum bzw. Verzerrung zugunsten der Überlebenden)“

#survivorshipbias

Last updated 6 years ago