@vortex_egg

Yes, we need to become comfortable with uncertainty in our increasingly complex environment — in fact that should already have be the case, especially for issues that are complex enough to be 'interesting.'

And even more than being comfortable with uncertainty, we need to get much better at thinking of things in terms of likelihood and probability — even getting clear on the difference between these two terms.

So becoming comfortable with Bayesian thinking will equip us to more effectively deal with both uncertainty, and reasoning, as we try to make sense of the flood of social media, consumer-marketing, politics, and multiple flavors of bullshit.

And by the way, it also helps with the simpler, more straightforward stuff like new science, technology, and data…

#uncertainty #probability #likelihood # Bayesian #reason #reasoning #ToolsForThinking #complexity #sensemaking

@jandockx

Thanks, I will listen to Joe's Garage as you suggested. Nothing wrong with that. 😉

I'm afraid that our disconnect on this topic is due to difference in conceptual background, not on basic differences between us on what we consider morally right or wrong.

I see your points, and I agree with you, under the assumption that I do understand your context and perspective.

I tend toward big-picture, abstract thinking that might be considered mathematical/logical in nature. So it's like I'm trying to explain that 'gravity' is not what really explains objects falling—it's better explained as curvature in space-time.

Why do I do this? Because, as I said, it avoids some significant bumps, discontinuities, non-monotonicities in popular thinking about moral decision-making, and make our thinking more extensible to future possibilities.

But by doing so, I lose my audience. How to effectively convey it? Long one-on-one conversations, but that doesn't scale. A collaborative discussion site on the web? Music? Art? Videos? Games...?

I really appreciate your comments, but I honestly don't know how to approach the project of constructing the necessary background in common given the limited bandwidth.

#morality #DecisionMaking #MoralDecisionMaking #ethics #explanation #pedagogy #constructivism #CulturalEvolution #SocietalEvolution #ToolsForThought #ToolsForThinking #DiscussionPlatforms

Played around a bit with Apple’s new Freeform app. I’m excited about the possibilities: it seems like a useful place to hash out family projects. (I’m gonna try it with an upcoming trip.)

#toolsforthinking #pkm

Played around a bit with Apple’s new Freeform app. I’m excited about the possibilities: it seems like a useful place to hash out family projects. (I’m gonna try it with an upcoming trip.)

#toolsforthinking #pkm

Introducing TinyUX - Wireframing on you mobile phone.

Tap tap tap tap tap those icons! :bongoCat:

Quickly visual brainstorm your thoughts, anywhere, anytime, and share it.

#ux #uxDesign #wireframing #UXTools #wireframes #wireframe #uxuiDesign #uxui #uiux #app #icons #tap #brainstorm #thoughts #IXD #UXStrategy #toolsforthinking #ToolsForThought #appdesigners #startup #mvp #components

Your phone’s role in #PKM is primarily as an idea collection device, not a place to tend your knowledge garden. #toolsforthinking

Your phone’s role in #PKM is primarily as an idea collection device, not a place to tend your knowledge garden. #toolsforthinking